**Recent polling in Tocantins consistently places incumbent senator Eduardo Gomes (PL) in first for one of the two Senate seats up for election on October 4, while Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) and Carlos Gaguim (União) compete closely for second amid a fragmented field and high undecided voters.** Multiple August surveys, including those from Paraná Pesquisas, Real Time Big Data, and Quaest, show Gomes leading with 25–35% in stimulated scenarios, followed by Guimarães (18–26%) and Gaguim (10–21%), with Ronaldo Dimas, Vanderlei Luxemburgo, Eli Borges, and Paulo Mourão trailing further back. Elevated indecision rates (often 20–60%) and voters selecting two candidates keep the second-place outcome fluid, as late shifts or consolidation among opposition or allied blocs could alter positioning. Trader pricing reflects Guimarães’s edge in recent head-to-head polling for the runner-up spot, while Gaguim’s support remains competitive but more variable. No single late-breaking development has yet produced decisive separation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоАлександр Гимарайнс 47%
Гагуим 37.5%
Эдуардо Гомес 15.1%
Освани Луз <1%
$34,535 Объем
$34,535 Объем
Александр Гимарайнс
47%
Гагуим
37%
Эдуардо Гомес
15%
Освани Луз
1%
Эли Боржес
1%
Роналду Димас
1%
Вандерлей Лушембургу
1%
Элиу Родригес Болсонару
<1%
Паулу Мурао
<1%
Апостоло Флавио Брага
<1%
Фабио Рибейру
<1%
Нилтон Сантос
<1%
Профессор Освальдо
<1%
Александр Гимарайнс 47%
Гагуим 37.5%
Эдуардо Гомес 15.1%
Освани Луз <1%
$34,535 Объем
$34,535 Объем
Александр Гимарайнс
47%
Гагуим
37%
Эдуардо Гомес
15%
Освани Луз
1%
Эли Боржес
1%
Роналду Димас
1%
Вандерлей Лушембургу
1%
Элиу Родригес Болсонару
<1%
Паулу Мурао
<1%
Апостоло Флавио Брага
<1%
Фабио Рибейру
<1%
Нилтон Сантос
<1%
Профессор Освальдо
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Открытие рынка: Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Recent polling in Tocantins consistently places incumbent senator Eduardo Gomes (PL) in first for one of the two Senate seats up for election on October 4, while Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) and Carlos Gaguim (União) compete closely for second amid a fragmented field and high undecided voters.** Multiple August surveys, including those from Paraná Pesquisas, Real Time Big Data, and Quaest, show Gomes leading with 25–35% in stimulated scenarios, followed by Guimarães (18–26%) and Gaguim (10–21%), with Ronaldo Dimas, Vanderlei Luxemburgo, Eli Borges, and Paulo Mourão trailing further back. Elevated indecision rates (often 20–60%) and voters selecting two candidates keep the second-place outcome fluid, as late shifts or consolidation among opposition or allied blocs could alter positioning. Trader pricing reflects Guimarães’s edge in recent head-to-head polling for the runner-up spot, while Gaguim’s support remains competitive but more variable. No single late-breaking development has yet produced decisive separation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Will Eduardo Gomes win the most votes in the 2026 Tocantins Senate election?
Получит ли Бия Кисиз второе по количеству голосов место на выборах в Сенат Федерального округа 2026 года?
Сможет ли Эсперидиану Амину набрать второй по количеству голосов результат на выборах в Сенат Санта-Катарины в 2026 году?
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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