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icon for Первый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 1-е место в Рорайме
Политика·Бразилия

Первый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 1-е место в Рорайме

icon for Первый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 1-е место в Рорайме
Политика·Бразилия

Первый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 1-е место в Рорайме

Флавио Болсонару 97.7%

Лула 1.6%

Ветеринарий Вилсон Грасси <1%

Писатель Аугусто Кури <1%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Флавио Болсонару 97.7%

Лула 1.6%

Ветеринарий Вилсон Грасси <1%

Писатель Аугусто Кури <1%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ
icon for Флавио Болсонару

Флавио Болсонару

$3,652 Объем

98%

icon for Лула

Лула

$688 Объем

2%

icon for Ветеринарий Вилсон Грасси

Ветеринарий Вилсон Грасси

$575 Объем

<1%

icon for Писатель Аугусто Кури

Писатель Аугусто Кури

$581 Объем

<1%

icon for Зема

Зема

$438 Объем

<1%

icon for Клариана Барао

Клариана Барао

$498 Объем

<1%

icon for Эдмилсон Коста

Эдмилсон Коста

$528 Объем

<1%

icon for Херц Диас

Херц Диас

$492 Объем

<1%

icon for Пабло Марсал

Пабло Марсал

$448 Объем

<1%

icon for Ренан Сантос

Ренан Сантос

$448 Объем

<1%

icon for Роналду Кайаду

Роналду Кайаду

$448 Объем

<1%

icon for Руй Коста Пимента

Руй Коста Пимента

$416 Объем

<1%

icon for Самара

Самара

$418 Объем

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding position in Roraima presidential polling for the October 4 first round, with recent surveys showing him at 52-62% support against Lula's 17-18% and single-digit or lower shares for other names. This edge stems from sustained regional backing for the Liberal Party (PL) and Bolsonarismo in the northern Amazon state, reinforced by Jair Bolsonaro's endorsement of his son, strong PL performance in concurrent gubernatorial races, and alignment with local agricultural and evangelical voter priorities. Trader consensus at 97.8% for Flávio reflects these consistent state-level trends. Potential shifts could arise from late undecided voter movement (around 20% in some polls), unexpected consolidation among fragmented right-leaning options, or turnout variations, though current evidence shows limited momentum for challengers in the state.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Объем
$9,628
Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding position in Roraima presidential polling for the October 4 first round, with recent surveys showing him at 52-62% support against Lula's 17-18% and single-digit or lower shares for other names. This edge stems from sustained regional backing for the Liberal Party (PL) and Bolsonarismo in the northern Amazon state, reinforced by Jair Bolsonaro's endorsement of his son, strong PL performance in concurrent gubernatorial races, and alignment with local agricultural and evangelical voter priorities. Trader consensus at 97.8% for Flávio reflects these consistent state-level trends. Potential shifts could arise from late undecided voter movement (around 20% in some polls), unexpected consolidation among fragmented right-leaning options, or turnout variations, though current evidence shows limited momentum for challengers in the state.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Объем
$9,628
Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...

Связанные

icon for Выиграет ли Лула большинство голосов в первом туре президентских выборов в Бразилии 2026 года?

Выиграет ли Лула большинство голосов в первом туре президентских выборов в Бразилии 2026 года?

69%
Да
icon for Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?

92%
icon for Получит ли Флавио Болсонару наибольшее количество голосов на следующих президентских выборах в Бразилии в штате Парана?

Получит ли Флавио Болсонару наибольшее количество голосов на следующих президентских выборах в Бразилии в штате Парана?

97%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Первый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 1-е место в Рорайме» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 13 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Флавио Болсонару» с 98%, за ним следует «Лула» с 2%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 98¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 98%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Первый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 1-е место в Рорайме» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 17, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Первый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 1-е место в Рорайме», просмотри 13 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Первый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 1-е место в Рорайме» — «Флавио Болсонару» с 98%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 98%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Лула» с 2%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Первый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 1-е место в Рорайме» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.