Ciro Gomes (PSDB) leads the Ceará gubernatorial race as the experienced former governor seeking a return, backed by center-right alliances including União Brasil, PP, and PL, while emphasizing antipetismo and state-level priorities. Incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) campaigns on his administration’s record and continuity with the Lula-aligned coalition that has held the governorship for multiple terms. Recent Datafolha, Quaest, and Real Time Big Data surveys from late August and early September show a tight first-round contest or slight Ciro edge within margins of error, with second-round simulations similarly competitive. The October 4 first-round vote and potential runoff, alongside ongoing debates, keep the outcome sensitive to turnout and late shifts among undecided voters.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCeará Governor Election Winner
Ceará Governor Election Winner
Ciro Gomes 62%
Elmano de Freitas 38%
Eduardo Girão <1%
Roberto Cláudio <1%
$216,112 Объем
$216,112 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Ciro Gomes
62%
Elmano de Freitas
38%
Eduardo Girão
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
<1%
Камилу Сантана
<1%
Capitão Wagner
<1%
Ciro Gomes 62%
Elmano de Freitas 38%
Eduardo Girão <1%
Roberto Cláudio <1%
$216,112 Объем
$216,112 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Ciro Gomes
$102,109 Объем
62%
Elmano de Freitas
$43,123 Объем
38%
Eduardo Girão
$18,393 Объем
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
$18,024 Объем
<1%
Камилу Сантана
$16,424 Объем
<1%
Capitão Wagner
$18,039 Объем
<1%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes (PSDB) leads the Ceará gubernatorial race as the experienced former governor seeking a return, backed by center-right alliances including União Brasil, PP, and PL, while emphasizing antipetismo and state-level priorities. Incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) campaigns on his administration’s record and continuity with the Lula-aligned coalition that has held the governorship for multiple terms. Recent Datafolha, Quaest, and Real Time Big Data surveys from late August and early September show a tight first-round contest or slight Ciro edge within margins of error, with second-round simulations similarly competitive. The October 4 first-round vote and potential runoff, alongside ongoing debates, keep the outcome sensitive to turnout and late shifts among undecided voters.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Открытие рынка: Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Объем
$216,112Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes (PSDB) leads the Ceará gubernatorial race as the experienced former governor seeking a return, backed by center-right alliances including União Brasil, PP, and PL, while emphasizing antipetismo and state-level priorities. Incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) campaigns on his administration’s record and continuity with the Lula-aligned coalition that has held the governorship for multiple terms. Recent Datafolha, Quaest, and Real Time Big Data surveys from late August and early September show a tight first-round contest or slight Ciro edge within margins of error, with second-round simulations similarly competitive. The October 4 first-round vote and potential runoff, alongside ongoing debates, keep the outcome sensitive to turnout and late shifts among undecided voters.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$216,112Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Ciro Gomes (PSDB) leads the Ceará gubernatorial race as the experienced former governor seeking a return, backed by center-right alliances including União Brasil, PP, and PL, while emphasizing antipetismo and state-level priorities. Incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) campaigns on his administration’s record and continuity with the Lula-aligned coalition that has held the governorship for multiple terms. Recent Datafolha, Quaest, and Real Time Big Data surveys from late August and early September show a tight first-round contest or slight Ciro edge within margins of error, with second-round simulations similarly competitive. The October 4 first-round vote and potential runoff, alongside ongoing debates, keep the outcome sensitive to turnout and late shifts among undecided voters.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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