Recent polling shows a tight contest for first place in Paraná’s October 4 Senate election, with Deltan Dallagnol (Novo), Alexandre Curi (Republicanos), Filipe Barros (PL), Gleisi Hoffmann (PT), and Cristina Graeml (PSD) separated by only a few points and within margins of error in consolidated first- and second-choice tallies. The race remains balanced because voters select two senators, regional bases are fragmented, and party coalitions have not consolidated support behind any single name. Dallagnol’s late-September TSE suspension and appeal introduce the main near-term uncertainty, while late campaign momentum, turnout differences, and any final judicial rulings on candidacies could shift relative positioning among the top contenders before election day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoFilipe Barros 42%
Deltan Dallagnol 31%
Alexandre Curi 28%
Gleisi 1.2%
$58,177 Vol.
$58,177 Vol.
4 out 2026
Filipe Barros
46%
Deltan Dallagnol
31%
Alexandre Curi
31%
Gleisi
7%
Cristina Reis Graeml
<1%
Dr. Rosinha
<1%
Joaquim do MLB
<1%
Karen Guerreiro
<1%
Marcelo Marcelino
<1%
Filipe Barros 42%
Deltan Dallagnol 31%
Alexandre Curi 28%
Gleisi 1.2%
$58,177 Vol.
$58,177 Vol.
4 out 2026
Filipe Barros
$9,464 Vol.
46%
Deltan Dallagnol
$29,525 Vol.
31%
Alexandre Curi
$12,021 Vol.
31%
Gleisi
$3,198 Vol.
7%
Cristina Reis Graeml
$618 Vol.
<1%
Dr. Rosinha
$703 Vol.
<1%
Joaquim do MLB
$553 Vol.
<1%
Karen Guerreiro
$1,119 Vol.
<1%
Marcelo Marcelino
$977 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling shows a tight contest for first place in Paraná’s October 4 Senate election, with Deltan Dallagnol (Novo), Alexandre Curi (Republicanos), Filipe Barros (PL), Gleisi Hoffmann (PT), and Cristina Graeml (PSD) separated by only a few points and within margins of error in consolidated first- and second-choice tallies. The race remains balanced because voters select two senators, regional bases are fragmented, and party coalitions have not consolidated support behind any single name. Dallagnol’s late-September TSE suspension and appeal introduce the main near-term uncertainty, while late campaign momentum, turnout differences, and any final judicial rulings on candidacies could shift relative positioning among the top contenders before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado Aberto: Aug 17, 2026, 6:05 AM ET
Volume
$58,177Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling shows a tight contest for first place in Paraná’s October 4 Senate election, with Deltan Dallagnol (Novo), Alexandre Curi (Republicanos), Filipe Barros (PL), Gleisi Hoffmann (PT), and Cristina Graeml (PSD) separated by only a few points and within margins of error in consolidated first- and second-choice tallies. The race remains balanced because voters select two senators, regional bases are fragmented, and party coalitions have not consolidated support behind any single name. Dallagnol’s late-September TSE suspension and appeal introduce the main near-term uncertainty, while late campaign momentum, turnout differences, and any final judicial rulings on candidacies could shift relative positioning among the top contenders before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$58,177Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows a tight contest for first place in Paraná’s October 4 Senate election, with Deltan Dallagnol (Novo), Alexandre Curi (Republicanos), Filipe Barros (PL), Gleisi Hoffmann (PT), and Cristina Graeml (PSD) separated by only a few points and within margins of error in consolidated first- and second-choice tallies. The race remains balanced because voters select two senators, regional bases are fragmented, and party coalitions have not consolidated support behind any single name. Dallagnol’s late-September TSE suspension and appeal introduce the main near-term uncertainty, while late campaign momentum, turnout differences, and any final judicial rulings on candidacies could shift relative positioning among the top contenders before election day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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