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icon for Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner
Eleições·Brasil

Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner

icon for Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner
Eleições·Brasil

Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner

Cleitinho Azevedo 85.3%

Patrus Ananias 6.7%

Mateus Simões 6.2%

Alexandre Kalil 1.0%

Polymarket

$398,244 Vol.

Cleitinho Azevedo 85.3%

Patrus Ananias 6.7%

Mateus Simões 6.2%

Alexandre Kalil 1.0%

Polymarket

$398,244 Vol.

icon for Cleitinho Azevedo

Cleitinho Azevedo

$178,477 Vol.

85%

icon for Patrus Ananias

Patrus Ananias

$12,872 Vol.

7%

icon for Mateus Simões

Mateus Simões

$33,754 Vol.

6%

icon for Alexandre Kalil

Alexandre Kalil

$40,256 Vol.

1%

icon for Gabriel Azevedo

Gabriel Azevedo

$10,410 Vol.

1%

icon for Rodrigo Pacheco

Rodrigo Pacheco

$20,981 Vol.

1%

icon for Flávio Roscoe

Flávio Roscoe

$10,366 Vol.

<1%

icon for Benoni Mendes

Benoni Mendes

$7,483 Vol.

<1%

icon for Luís Eduardo Falcão

Luís Eduardo Falcão

$7,577 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nikolas Ferreira

Nikolas Ferreira

$8,659 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tadeu Leite

Tadeu Leite

$6,290 Vol.

<1%

icon for Aécio Neves

Aécio Neves

$5,848 Vol.

<1%

icon for Alexandre Silveira

Alexandre Silveira

$5,543 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marcelo Aro

Marcelo Aro

$34,146 Vol.

<1%

icon for Euclydes Pettersen

Euclydes Pettersen

$5,253 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gleidson Azevedo

Gleidson Azevedo

$4,989 Vol.

<1%

icon for Vittorio Medioli

Vittorio Medioli

$5,340 Vol.

<1%

The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Cleitinho Azevedo maintains a commanding lead in Minas Gerais gubernatorial polling, with recent Datafolha, F5, and Real Time Big Data surveys placing him at 33-37% in the first round, well ahead of Patrus Ananias (PT) and Alexandre Kalil (PDT) in the 10-15% range and current governor Mateus Simões (PSD) further back. Traders price this dominance into the market through strong implied probabilities for the Republicanos senator, who benefits from broad name recognition after topping the 2022 Senate vote and consistent advantages in simulated runoffs. Opposition fragmentation, Cleitinho’s focus on tax relief and toll contract reviews, and the absence of major late shifts have reinforced his position ahead of the October 4 first round. Other listed candidates trail due to lower polling support and limited momentum in the closing weeks.

The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$398,244
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Cleitinho Azevedo maintains a commanding lead in Minas Gerais gubernatorial polling, with recent Datafolha, F5, and Real Time Big Data surveys placing him at 33-37% in the first round, well ahead of Patrus Ananias (PT) and Alexandre Kalil (PDT) in the 10-15% range and current governor Mateus Simões (PSD) further back. Traders price this dominance into the market through strong implied probabilities for the Republicanos senator, who benefits from broad name recognition after topping the 2022 Senate vote and consistent advantages in simulated runoffs. Opposition fragmentation, Cleitinho’s focus on tax relief and toll contract reviews, and the absence of major late shifts have reinforced his position ahead of the October 4 first round. Other listed candidates trail due to lower polling support and limited momentum in the closing weeks.

The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$398,244
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 17 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Cleitinho Azevedo" at 85%, followed by "Patrus Ananias" at 7%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 85¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 85% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner" has generated $398.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner," browse the 17 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner" is "Cleitinho Azevedo" at 85%, meaning the market assigns a 85% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Patrus Ananias" at 7%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.