Sergio Moro (PL) holds a commanding lead in recent polling for the October 4, 2026, first-round vote, with shares between 44.7% and 49.1% across surveys from Paraná Pesquisas and AtlasIntel, well ahead of Requião Filho (PDT) and Sandro Alex (PSD). This positioning stems from his established profile as a senator, consistent anti-corruption messaging, and strong head-to-head margins in second-round simulations. The open seat, created by term limits on incumbent Ratinho Junior (PSD), has allowed Moro to consolidate support while Sandro Alex, backed by the governor and emphasizing administrative continuity, trails in the low-to-mid teens. Requião Filho has edged ahead of Sandro Alex in some late-September readings for second place, though both remain far behind. Minor candidates register negligible support, and active campaigning—including carreatas and debates—has not altered the overall hierarchy in the final weeks.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSergio Moro 83%
Sandro Alex 16%
Requião Filho 2.3%
Rafael Greca <1%
$186,278 Vol.
$186,278 Vol.
4 out 2026
Sergio Moro
83%
Sandro Alex
16%
Requião Filho
2%
Rafael Greca
<1%
Guto Silva
<1%
Alexandre Curi
<1%
Beto Richa
<1%
Enio Verri
<1%
Luiz França
<1%
Sergio Moro 83%
Sandro Alex 16%
Requião Filho 2.3%
Rafael Greca <1%
$186,278 Vol.
$186,278 Vol.
4 out 2026
Sergio Moro
$121,786 Vol.
83%
Sandro Alex
$18,369 Vol.
16%
Requião Filho
$22,411 Vol.
2%
Rafael Greca
$3,403 Vol.
<1%
Guto Silva
$3,022 Vol.
<1%
Alexandre Curi
$5,452 Vol.
<1%
Beto Richa
$2,625 Vol.
<1%
Enio Verri
$3,396 Vol.
<1%
Luiz França
$5,812 Vol.
<1%
The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Sergio Moro (PL) holds a commanding lead in recent polling for the October 4, 2026, first-round vote, with shares between 44.7% and 49.1% across surveys from Paraná Pesquisas and AtlasIntel, well ahead of Requião Filho (PDT) and Sandro Alex (PSD). This positioning stems from his established profile as a senator, consistent anti-corruption messaging, and strong head-to-head margins in second-round simulations. The open seat, created by term limits on incumbent Ratinho Junior (PSD), has allowed Moro to consolidate support while Sandro Alex, backed by the governor and emphasizing administrative continuity, trails in the low-to-mid teens. Requião Filho has edged ahead of Sandro Alex in some late-September readings for second place, though both remain far behind. Minor candidates register negligible support, and active campaigning—including carreatas and debates—has not altered the overall hierarchy in the final weeks.
The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado Aberto: Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET
Volume
$186,278Data de Término
5 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Sergio Moro (PL) holds a commanding lead in recent polling for the October 4, 2026, first-round vote, with shares between 44.7% and 49.1% across surveys from Paraná Pesquisas and AtlasIntel, well ahead of Requião Filho (PDT) and Sandro Alex (PSD). This positioning stems from his established profile as a senator, consistent anti-corruption messaging, and strong head-to-head margins in second-round simulations. The open seat, created by term limits on incumbent Ratinho Junior (PSD), has allowed Moro to consolidate support while Sandro Alex, backed by the governor and emphasizing administrative continuity, trails in the low-to-mid teens. Requião Filho has edged ahead of Sandro Alex in some late-September readings for second place, though both remain far behind. Minor candidates register negligible support, and active campaigning—including carreatas and debates—has not altered the overall hierarchy in the final weeks.
The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$186,278Data de Término
5 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Sergio Moro (PL) holds a commanding lead in recent polling for the October 4, 2026, first-round vote, with shares between 44.7% and 49.1% across surveys from Paraná Pesquisas and AtlasIntel, well ahead of Requião Filho (PDT) and Sandro Alex (PSD). This positioning stems from his established profile as a senator, consistent anti-corruption messaging, and strong head-to-head margins in second-round simulations. The open seat, created by term limits on incumbent Ratinho Junior (PSD), has allowed Moro to consolidate support while Sandro Alex, backed by the governor and emphasizing administrative continuity, trails in the low-to-mid teens. Requião Filho has edged ahead of Sandro Alex in some late-September readings for second place, though both remain far behind. Minor candidates register negligible support, and active campaigning—including carreatas and debates—has not altered the overall hierarchy in the final weeks.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions