**The Paraná Senate race for second place remains tightly contested among Filipe Barros (PL), Alexandre Curi (Republicanos), Deltan Dallagnol (Novo), and Gleisi Hoffmann (PT), with recent polls showing them within a few points amid high undecided shares and split-ticket voting.** Barros benefits from PL positioning and right-wing consolidation efforts alongside Sergio Moro’s gubernatorial bid, while Curi draws support from the state governor’s PSD-aligned coalition. Dallagnol’s candidacy gained formal validation from the TRE-PR in early September despite prior eligibility challenges, adding uncertainty to right-leaning voter distribution. Gleisi anchors the PT base but faces higher rejection. With the October 4 election approaching, the fragmented field and dual-vote mechanics sustain the close implied probabilities reflected in current trader pricing.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoFilipe Barros 43%
Alexandre Curi 21%
Deltan Dallagnol 16%
Gleisi 14.0%
$34,951 Vol.
$34,951 Vol.
4 out 2026
Filipe Barros
43%
Alexandre Curi
21%
Deltan Dallagnol
16%
Gleisi
14%
Cristina Reis Graeml
1%
Marcelo Marcelino
<1%
Dr. Rosinha
<1%
Joaquim do MLB
<1%
Karen Guerreiro
<1%
Filipe Barros 43%
Alexandre Curi 21%
Deltan Dallagnol 16%
Gleisi 14.0%
$34,951 Vol.
$34,951 Vol.
4 out 2026
Filipe Barros
$11,983 Vol.
43%
Alexandre Curi
$5,417 Vol.
21%
Deltan Dallagnol
$8,096 Vol.
16%
Gleisi
$5,354 Vol.
14%
Cristina Reis Graeml
$1,651 Vol.
1%
Marcelo Marcelino
$605 Vol.
<1%
Dr. Rosinha
$574 Vol.
<1%
Joaquim do MLB
$712 Vol.
<1%
Karen Guerreiro
$560 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**The Paraná Senate race for second place remains tightly contested among Filipe Barros (PL), Alexandre Curi (Republicanos), Deltan Dallagnol (Novo), and Gleisi Hoffmann (PT), with recent polls showing them within a few points amid high undecided shares and split-ticket voting.** Barros benefits from PL positioning and right-wing consolidation efforts alongside Sergio Moro’s gubernatorial bid, while Curi draws support from the state governor’s PSD-aligned coalition. Dallagnol’s candidacy gained formal validation from the TRE-PR in early September despite prior eligibility challenges, adding uncertainty to right-leaning voter distribution. Gleisi anchors the PT base but faces higher rejection. With the October 4 election approaching, the fragmented field and dual-vote mechanics sustain the close implied probabilities reflected in current trader pricing.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado Aberto: Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
Volume
$34,951Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**The Paraná Senate race for second place remains tightly contested among Filipe Barros (PL), Alexandre Curi (Republicanos), Deltan Dallagnol (Novo), and Gleisi Hoffmann (PT), with recent polls showing them within a few points amid high undecided shares and split-ticket voting.** Barros benefits from PL positioning and right-wing consolidation efforts alongside Sergio Moro’s gubernatorial bid, while Curi draws support from the state governor’s PSD-aligned coalition. Dallagnol’s candidacy gained formal validation from the TRE-PR in early September despite prior eligibility challenges, adding uncertainty to right-leaning voter distribution. Gleisi anchors the PT base but faces higher rejection. With the October 4 election approaching, the fragmented field and dual-vote mechanics sustain the close implied probabilities reflected in current trader pricing.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$34,951Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**The Paraná Senate race for second place remains tightly contested among Filipe Barros (PL), Alexandre Curi (Republicanos), Deltan Dallagnol (Novo), and Gleisi Hoffmann (PT), with recent polls showing them within a few points amid high undecided shares and split-ticket voting.** Barros benefits from PL positioning and right-wing consolidation efforts alongside Sergio Moro’s gubernatorial bid, while Curi draws support from the state governor’s PSD-aligned coalition. Dallagnol’s candidacy gained formal validation from the TRE-PR in early September despite prior eligibility challenges, adding uncertainty to right-leaning voter distribution. Gleisi anchors the PT base but faces higher rejection. With the October 4 election approaching, the fragmented field and dual-vote mechanics sustain the close implied probabilities reflected in current trader pricing.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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