**Roseana Sarney (MDB) holds the clearest edge for first place in the Maranhão Senate race due to her consistent polling lead and established name recognition as a former four-term governor and daughter of ex-president José Sarney.** Recent surveys from September 2026, including Real Time Big Data and IP Sensus, place her ahead or tied near the top with 18-21% support in consolidated voting for the two available seats, ahead of Weverton Rocha (PDT, seeking re-election), Lahesio Bonfim (Novo), André Fufuca (PP), and Eliziane Gama (PT). The contest remains fragmented, with multiple candidates clustered within margins of error and high undecided shares (often 20-30%), reflecting the state's multiparty dynamics and voter choice of up to two senators on October 4. Sarney's MDB alliance with the Orleans Brandão gubernatorial ticket provides organizational support, while her recovery from cancer and late-campaign positioning have stabilized her front-runner status without decisive separation yet emerging from rivals.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRoseana Sarney 55%
Lahesio Bonfim 17.3%
Weverton Rocha 11.6%
Fufuca 8.8%
$27,018 Vol.
$27,018 Vol.
4 out 2026
Roseana Sarney
55%
Lahesio Bonfim
17%
Weverton Rocha
12%
Fufuca
12%
Eliziane Gama
13%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
<1%
Raimundo Moreira
<1%
Simplício Araújo
<1%
Cidônio Gonçalves
<1%
Enilton Rodrigues
<1%
Wilson Leite
<1%
Roseana Sarney 55%
Lahesio Bonfim 17.3%
Weverton Rocha 11.6%
Fufuca 8.8%
$27,018 Vol.
$27,018 Vol.
4 out 2026
Roseana Sarney
$17,009 Vol.
55%
Lahesio Bonfim
$4,098 Vol.
17%
Weverton Rocha
$2,327 Vol.
12%
Fufuca
$596 Vol.
12%
Eliziane Gama
$638 Vol.
13%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
$396 Vol.
<1%
Raimundo Moreira
$412 Vol.
<1%
Simplício Araújo
$372 Vol.
<1%
Cidônio Gonçalves
$405 Vol.
<1%
Enilton Rodrigues
$282 Vol.
<1%
Wilson Leite
$482 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Roseana Sarney (MDB) holds the clearest edge for first place in the Maranhão Senate race due to her consistent polling lead and established name recognition as a former four-term governor and daughter of ex-president José Sarney.** Recent surveys from September 2026, including Real Time Big Data and IP Sensus, place her ahead or tied near the top with 18-21% support in consolidated voting for the two available seats, ahead of Weverton Rocha (PDT, seeking re-election), Lahesio Bonfim (Novo), André Fufuca (PP), and Eliziane Gama (PT). The contest remains fragmented, with multiple candidates clustered within margins of error and high undecided shares (often 20-30%), reflecting the state's multiparty dynamics and voter choice of up to two senators on October 4. Sarney's MDB alliance with the Orleans Brandão gubernatorial ticket provides organizational support, while her recovery from cancer and late-campaign positioning have stabilized her front-runner status without decisive separation yet emerging from rivals.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado Aberto: Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET
Volume
$27,018Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Roseana Sarney (MDB) holds the clearest edge for first place in the Maranhão Senate race due to her consistent polling lead and established name recognition as a former four-term governor and daughter of ex-president José Sarney.** Recent surveys from September 2026, including Real Time Big Data and IP Sensus, place her ahead or tied near the top with 18-21% support in consolidated voting for the two available seats, ahead of Weverton Rocha (PDT, seeking re-election), Lahesio Bonfim (Novo), André Fufuca (PP), and Eliziane Gama (PT). The contest remains fragmented, with multiple candidates clustered within margins of error and high undecided shares (often 20-30%), reflecting the state's multiparty dynamics and voter choice of up to two senators on October 4. Sarney's MDB alliance with the Orleans Brandão gubernatorial ticket provides organizational support, while her recovery from cancer and late-campaign positioning have stabilized her front-runner status without decisive separation yet emerging from rivals.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$27,018Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Roseana Sarney (MDB) holds the clearest edge for first place in the Maranhão Senate race due to her consistent polling lead and established name recognition as a former four-term governor and daughter of ex-president José Sarney.** Recent surveys from September 2026, including Real Time Big Data and IP Sensus, place her ahead or tied near the top with 18-21% support in consolidated voting for the two available seats, ahead of Weverton Rocha (PDT, seeking re-election), Lahesio Bonfim (Novo), André Fufuca (PP), and Eliziane Gama (PT). The contest remains fragmented, with multiple candidates clustered within margins of error and high undecided shares (often 20-30%), reflecting the state's multiparty dynamics and voter choice of up to two senators on October 4. Sarney's MDB alliance with the Orleans Brandão gubernatorial ticket provides organizational support, while her recovery from cancer and late-campaign positioning have stabilized her front-runner status without decisive separation yet emerging from rivals.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions