Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding lead in Roraima for first place in the October 4 first round, backed by consistent state polling showing him at 52-62% against Lula’s 17-18%. The northern border state’s conservative electorate, strong evangelical and rural base, and 2022 voting patterns favoring the PL align with his recent campaign stops, including agribusiness meetings and public events in Boa Vista. Trader pricing reflects these structural advantages and limited competition from other listed names. Late developments such as health issues, major scandals, or unexpected shifts in local alliances remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin before voting concludes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoFlavio Bolsonaro 98.0%
Lula 1.6%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi <1%
Escritor Augusto Cury <1%
NOVO
NOVO
4 out 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
98%
Lula
2%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Zema
<1%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Samara
<1%
Flavio Bolsonaro 98.0%
Lula 1.6%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi <1%
Escritor Augusto Cury <1%
NOVO
NOVO
4 out 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
$3,652 Vol.
98%
Lula
$688 Vol.
2%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$575 Vol.
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$581 Vol.
<1%
Zema
$438 Vol.
<1%
Clariana Barao
$498 Vol.
<1%
Edmilson Costa
$528 Vol.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$492 Vol.
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$448 Vol.
<1%
Renan Santos
$448 Vol.
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$448 Vol.
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$416 Vol.
<1%
Samara
$418 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding lead in Roraima for first place in the October 4 first round, backed by consistent state polling showing him at 52-62% against Lula’s 17-18%. The northern border state’s conservative electorate, strong evangelical and rural base, and 2022 voting patterns favoring the PL align with his recent campaign stops, including agribusiness meetings and public events in Boa Vista. Trader pricing reflects these structural advantages and limited competition from other listed names. Late developments such as health issues, major scandals, or unexpected shifts in local alliances remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin before voting concludes.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Mercado Aberto: Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ET
Volume
$9,628Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding lead in Roraima for first place in the October 4 first round, backed by consistent state polling showing him at 52-62% against Lula’s 17-18%. The northern border state’s conservative electorate, strong evangelical and rural base, and 2022 voting patterns favoring the PL align with his recent campaign stops, including agribusiness meetings and public events in Boa Vista. Trader pricing reflects these structural advantages and limited competition from other listed names. Late developments such as health issues, major scandals, or unexpected shifts in local alliances remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin before voting concludes.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$9,628Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding lead in Roraima for first place in the October 4 first round, backed by consistent state polling showing him at 52-62% against Lula’s 17-18%. The northern border state’s conservative electorate, strong evangelical and rural base, and 2022 voting patterns favoring the PL align with his recent campaign stops, including agribusiness meetings and public events in Boa Vista. Trader pricing reflects these structural advantages and limited competition from other listed names. Late developments such as health issues, major scandals, or unexpected shifts in local alliances remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin before voting concludes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRelacionado
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