Omar Aziz (PSD), a former Amazonas governor and sitting senator, maintains a consistent lead in recent polling for the October 4, 2026, first-round gubernatorial vote, though second place remains in technical deadlock among Roberto Cidade (União), Professora Maria do Carmo (PL), and David Almeida (Avante). High undecided shares—often exceeding 40% in spontaneous surveys—combined with vote fragmentation among challengers sustain tight implied probabilities in the market. Aziz’s campaign has emphasized economic zoning, technical assistance for producers, and expanded technical education including artificial intelligence programs. With the first-round ballot approaching and a possible runoff on October 25, shifts among undecided voters or late endorsements could alter the current ordering before official results finalize the winner.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoOmar Aziz 55%
Professora Maria do Carmo 27%
Roberto Cidade 15.8%
Gilberto Vasconcelos 1.0%
$25,507 Vol.
$25,507 Vol.
4 out 2026
Omar Aziz
55%
Professora Maria do Carmo
28%
Roberto Cidade
16%
Gilberto Vasconcelos
1%
Cabo Daciolo
<1%
David Almeida
<1%
Isael Munduruku
<1%
Omar Aziz 55%
Professora Maria do Carmo 27%
Roberto Cidade 15.8%
Gilberto Vasconcelos 1.0%
$25,507 Vol.
$25,507 Vol.
4 out 2026
Omar Aziz
$8,877 Vol.
55%
Professora Maria do Carmo
$5,371 Vol.
28%
Roberto Cidade
$4,178 Vol.
16%
Gilberto Vasconcelos
$1,851 Vol.
1%
Cabo Daciolo
$1,543 Vol.
<1%
David Almeida
$1,911 Vol.
<1%
Isael Munduruku
$1,776 Vol.
<1%
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Omar Aziz (PSD), a former Amazonas governor and sitting senator, maintains a consistent lead in recent polling for the October 4, 2026, first-round gubernatorial vote, though second place remains in technical deadlock among Roberto Cidade (União), Professora Maria do Carmo (PL), and David Almeida (Avante). High undecided shares—often exceeding 40% in spontaneous surveys—combined with vote fragmentation among challengers sustain tight implied probabilities in the market. Aziz’s campaign has emphasized economic zoning, technical assistance for producers, and expanded technical education including artificial intelligence programs. With the first-round ballot approaching and a possible runoff on October 25, shifts among undecided voters or late endorsements could alter the current ordering before official results finalize the winner.
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado Aberto: Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ET
Volume
$25,507Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Omar Aziz (PSD), a former Amazonas governor and sitting senator, maintains a consistent lead in recent polling for the October 4, 2026, first-round gubernatorial vote, though second place remains in technical deadlock among Roberto Cidade (União), Professora Maria do Carmo (PL), and David Almeida (Avante). High undecided shares—often exceeding 40% in spontaneous surveys—combined with vote fragmentation among challengers sustain tight implied probabilities in the market. Aziz’s campaign has emphasized economic zoning, technical assistance for producers, and expanded technical education including artificial intelligence programs. With the first-round ballot approaching and a possible runoff on October 25, shifts among undecided voters or late endorsements could alter the current ordering before official results finalize the winner.
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$25,507Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Omar Aziz (PSD), a former Amazonas governor and sitting senator, maintains a consistent lead in recent polling for the October 4, 2026, first-round gubernatorial vote, though second place remains in technical deadlock among Roberto Cidade (União), Professora Maria do Carmo (PL), and David Almeida (Avante). High undecided shares—often exceeding 40% in spontaneous surveys—combined with vote fragmentation among challengers sustain tight implied probabilities in the market. Aziz’s campaign has emphasized economic zoning, technical assistance for producers, and expanded technical education including artificial intelligence programs. With the first-round ballot approaching and a possible runoff on October 25, shifts among undecided voters or late endorsements could alter the current ordering before official results finalize the winner.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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