Skip to main content

Para negociar nos EUA, acesse polymarket.us

icon for Eleição para o Senado do Espírito Santo: 2º Lugar
Política·Brasil

Eleição para o Senado do Espírito Santo: 2º Lugar

icon for Eleição para o Senado do Espírito Santo: 2º Lugar
Política·Brasil

Eleição para o Senado do Espírito Santo: 2º Lugar

Sergio Meneguelli 37%

Fabiano Contarato 27.7%

Rose de Freitas 24.2%

Maguinha Malta 11.7%

Polymarket

$38,160 Vol.

Sergio Meneguelli 37%

Fabiano Contarato 27.7%

Rose de Freitas 24.2%

Maguinha Malta 11.7%

Polymarket

$38,160 Vol.

icon for Sergio Meneguelli

Sergio Meneguelli

$20,841 Vol.

37%

icon for Fabiano Contarato

Fabiano Contarato

$6,935 Vol.

28%

icon for Rose de Freitas

Rose de Freitas

$4,459 Vol.

24%

icon for Maguinha Malta

Maguinha Malta

$1,234 Vol.

12%

icon for Renato Casagrande

Renato Casagrande

$971 Vol.

4%

icon for Evair de Melo

Evair de Melo

$1,026 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marcos do Val

Marcos do Val

$527 Vol.

<1%

icon for Callegari

Callegari

$731 Vol.

<1%

icon for Leonardo Monjardim

Leonardo Monjardim

$599 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rodney Miranda

Rodney Miranda

$414 Vol.

<1%

icon for Professor Fabian

Professor Fabian

$422 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls from Quaest and Real Time Big Data through early September show Renato Casagrande holding a clear lead for one Espírito Santo Senate seat, while a technical tie persists among six or more contenders for second place under the state's dual-vote system. Sergio Meneguelli, Fabiano Contarato, Rose de Freitas, Maguinha Malta, Evair de Melo, and Marcos do Val cluster within the margin of error, sustained by high undecided and blank shares plus voters splitting preferences across candidates. Limited major endorsements or campaign shifts since August surveys have preserved this equilibrium. Scheduled debates, coalition alignments, or final-week polling before the October 4 election could consolidate support and widen gaps among the pack. Trader consensus reflects this ongoing fragmentation for the second seat.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$38,160
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls from Quaest and Real Time Big Data through early September show Renato Casagrande holding a clear lead for one Espírito Santo Senate seat, while a technical tie persists among six or more contenders for second place under the state's dual-vote system. Sergio Meneguelli, Fabiano Contarato, Rose de Freitas, Maguinha Malta, Evair de Melo, and Marcos do Val cluster within the margin of error, sustained by high undecided and blank shares plus voters splitting preferences across candidates. Limited major endorsements or campaign shifts since August surveys have preserved this equilibrium. Scheduled debates, coalition alignments, or final-week polling before the October 4 election could consolidate support and widen gaps among the pack. Trader consensus reflects this ongoing fragmentation for the second seat.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$38,160
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Relacionado

icon for Renato Casagrande receberá o maior número de votos na eleição para o Senado do Espírito Santo em 2026?

Renato Casagrande receberá o maior número de votos na eleição para o Senado do Espírito Santo em 2026?

96%
Sim
icon for Marina Silva receberá o segundo maior número de votos na eleição para o Senado de São Paulo em 2026?

Marina Silva receberá o segundo maior número de votos na eleição para o Senado de São Paulo em 2026?

28%
Sim
icon for Leila do Vôlei ganhará o segundo maior número de votos na eleição para o Senado do Distrito Federal de 2026?

Leila do Vôlei ganhará o segundo maior número de votos na eleição para o Senado do Distrito Federal de 2026?

55%
Sim

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Eleição para o Senado do Espírito Santo: 2º Lugar" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Sergio Meneguelli" at 37%, followed by "Fabiano Contarato" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 37¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eleição para o Senado do Espírito Santo: 2º Lugar" has generated $38.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eleição para o Senado do Espírito Santo: 2º Lugar," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eleição para o Senado do Espírito Santo: 2º Lugar" is "Sergio Meneguelli" at 37%, meaning the market assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Fabiano Contarato" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eleição para o Senado do Espírito Santo: 2º Lugar" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.