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icon for Vencedor da eleição para governador de Mato Grosso
Política·Brasil

Vencedor da eleição para governador de Mato Grosso

icon for Vencedor da eleição para governador de Mato Grosso
Política·Brasil

Vencedor da eleição para governador de Mato Grosso

Wellington Fagundes 61%

Otaviano Pivetta 38%

Mauricio Coelho <1%

Sargento Laudicério <1%

Polymarket

$25,338 Vol.

Wellington Fagundes 61%

Otaviano Pivetta 38%

Mauricio Coelho <1%

Sargento Laudicério <1%

Polymarket

$25,338 Vol.

icon for Wellington Fagundes

Wellington Fagundes

$13,656 Vol.

61%

icon for Otaviano Pivetta

Otaviano Pivetta

$8,065 Vol.

38%

icon for Mauricio Coelho

Mauricio Coelho

$1,063 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sargento Laudicério

Sargento Laudicério

$689 Vol.

<1%

icon for Doutora Natasha

Doutora Natasha

$995 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rafaell Milas

Rafaell Milas

$870 Vol.

<1%

The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from early September shows incumbent Otaviano Pivetta (Republicanos) leading Wellington Fagundes (PL) by roughly 11 points in the first round and holding an edge in a simulated runoff, reflecting Pivetta's gains in voter preference and approval of his administration. Trader consensus nevertheless assigns Fagundes the higher implied probability, consistent with his established statewide profile as senator, stronger performance in certain demographic segments, and historical patterns of late shifts in Brazilian gubernatorial races. Minor candidates including Doutora Natasha remain in single digits, while the large share of undecided voters and the October 2026 election timeline continue to shape positioning ahead of primary and alliance developments.

The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$25,338
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from early September shows incumbent Otaviano Pivetta (Republicanos) leading Wellington Fagundes (PL) by roughly 11 points in the first round and holding an edge in a simulated runoff, reflecting Pivetta's gains in voter preference and approval of his administration. Trader consensus nevertheless assigns Fagundes the higher implied probability, consistent with his established statewide profile as senator, stronger performance in certain demographic segments, and historical patterns of late shifts in Brazilian gubernatorial races. Minor candidates including Doutora Natasha remain in single digits, while the large share of undecided voters and the October 2026 election timeline continue to shape positioning ahead of primary and alliance developments.

The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$25,338
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição para governador de Mato Grosso" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Wellington Fagundes" at 61%, followed by "Otaviano Pivetta" at 38%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 61¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 61% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da eleição para governador de Mato Grosso" has generated $25.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição para governador de Mato Grosso," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição para governador de Mato Grosso" is "Wellington Fagundes" at 61%, meaning the market assigns a 61% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Otaviano Pivetta" at 38%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição para governador de Mato Grosso" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.