Recent polling from Datafolha shows Michelle Bolsonaro leading first-preference intentions in the Distrito Federal Senate race, leaving second place contested among Bia Kicis, incumbent Leila do Vôlei, and Erika Kokay in a tight cluster. With roughly half of voters still undecided in spontaneous surveys and each elector selecting two candidates for the two seats decided by plurality on October 4, vote splitting within the PL and competition across center-right, center, and left-leaning options sustain narrow gaps. Trader pricing for second-place outcomes reflects this balance, where small shifts in turnout among key blocs or late campaign momentum could reorder the field ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoBia Kicis 43.5%
Leila do Vôlei 35%
Michelle Bolsonaro 1.7%
Erika Kokay 1.1%
$44,242 Vol.
$44,242 Vol.
4 out 2026
Bia Kicis
40%
Leila do Vôlei
33%
Michelle Bolsonaro
2%
Erika Kokay
7%
Avenir Rosa
<1%
David Horn
<1%
Guto Felício dos Santos
<1%
Marley
<1%
Professor Guilherme Amorim
<1%
Ronaldo Fonseca
<1%
Sebastião Coelho
<1%
Tiago
<1%
Zanata
<1%
Bia Kicis 43.5%
Leila do Vôlei 35%
Michelle Bolsonaro 1.7%
Erika Kokay 1.1%
$44,242 Vol.
$44,242 Vol.
4 out 2026
Bia Kicis
$10,950 Vol.
40%
Leila do Vôlei
$15,367 Vol.
33%
Michelle Bolsonaro
$4,989 Vol.
2%
Erika Kokay
$7,037 Vol.
7%
Avenir Rosa
$437 Vol.
<1%
David Horn
$2,060 Vol.
<1%
Guto Felício dos Santos
$381 Vol.
<1%
Marley
$392 Vol.
<1%
Professor Guilherme Amorim
$878 Vol.
<1%
Ronaldo Fonseca
$407 Vol.
<1%
Sebastião Coelho
$381 Vol.
<1%
Tiago
$546 Vol.
<1%
Zanata
$417 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Datafolha shows Michelle Bolsonaro leading first-preference intentions in the Distrito Federal Senate race, leaving second place contested among Bia Kicis, incumbent Leila do Vôlei, and Erika Kokay in a tight cluster. With roughly half of voters still undecided in spontaneous surveys and each elector selecting two candidates for the two seats decided by plurality on October 4, vote splitting within the PL and competition across center-right, center, and left-leaning options sustain narrow gaps. Trader pricing for second-place outcomes reflects this balance, where small shifts in turnout among key blocs or late campaign momentum could reorder the field ahead of resolution.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado Aberto: Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ET
Volume
$44,242Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Datafolha shows Michelle Bolsonaro leading first-preference intentions in the Distrito Federal Senate race, leaving second place contested among Bia Kicis, incumbent Leila do Vôlei, and Erika Kokay in a tight cluster. With roughly half of voters still undecided in spontaneous surveys and each elector selecting two candidates for the two seats decided by plurality on October 4, vote splitting within the PL and competition across center-right, center, and left-leaning options sustain narrow gaps. Trader pricing for second-place outcomes reflects this balance, where small shifts in turnout among key blocs or late campaign momentum could reorder the field ahead of resolution.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$44,242Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from Datafolha shows Michelle Bolsonaro leading first-preference intentions in the Distrito Federal Senate race, leaving second place contested among Bia Kicis, incumbent Leila do Vôlei, and Erika Kokay in a tight cluster. With roughly half of voters still undecided in spontaneous surveys and each elector selecting two candidates for the two seats decided by plurality on October 4, vote splitting within the PL and competition across center-right, center, and left-leaning options sustain narrow gaps. Trader pricing for second-place outcomes reflects this balance, where small shifts in turnout among key blocs or late campaign momentum could reorder the field ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRelacionado
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