Recent legal developments have shaped trader positioning in the Acre Senate race for first place ahead of the October 4 vote. The Tribunal Regional Eleitoral rejected Gladson Camelí’s candidacy under the Ficha Limpa law citing a prior conviction, though appeals remain possible and sustain residual market pricing. Incumbent Márcio Bittar (PL) holds the narrow lead in implied probabilities, supported by name recognition and party structure, while Mara Rocha (Republicanos) follows closely amid competition for the second seat. Jorge Viana (PT) and lower-polling names trail. With voters selecting two senators and polls showing clustered support among frontrunners, shifts in legal outcomes, campaign momentum, or turnout among key regional blocs could widen the gap before election day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoMarcio Bittar 40%
Mara Rocha 25.9%
Gladson Camelí 17.9%
Jorge Viana 4.3%
$39,246 Vol.
$39,246 Vol.
4 out 2026
Marcio Bittar
40%
Mara Rocha
22%
Gladson Camelí
18%
Jorge Viana
4%
Dr. Junior Feitosa
<1%
Eduardo Velloso
<1%
Petecão
<1%
Professor Inacio Moreira
<1%
Marcio Bittar 40%
Mara Rocha 25.9%
Gladson Camelí 17.9%
Jorge Viana 4.3%
$39,246 Vol.
$39,246 Vol.
4 out 2026
Marcio Bittar
$15,278 Vol.
40%
Mara Rocha
$6,451 Vol.
22%
Gladson Camelí
$11,409 Vol.
18%
Jorge Viana
$2,628 Vol.
4%
Dr. Junior Feitosa
$668 Vol.
<1%
Eduardo Velloso
$772 Vol.
<1%
Petecão
$1,284 Vol.
<1%
Professor Inacio Moreira
$756 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent legal developments have shaped trader positioning in the Acre Senate race for first place ahead of the October 4 vote. The Tribunal Regional Eleitoral rejected Gladson Camelí’s candidacy under the Ficha Limpa law citing a prior conviction, though appeals remain possible and sustain residual market pricing. Incumbent Márcio Bittar (PL) holds the narrow lead in implied probabilities, supported by name recognition and party structure, while Mara Rocha (Republicanos) follows closely amid competition for the second seat. Jorge Viana (PT) and lower-polling names trail. With voters selecting two senators and polls showing clustered support among frontrunners, shifts in legal outcomes, campaign momentum, or turnout among key regional blocs could widen the gap before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado Aberto: Aug 17, 2026, 5:46 AM ET
Volume
$39,246Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent legal developments have shaped trader positioning in the Acre Senate race for first place ahead of the October 4 vote. The Tribunal Regional Eleitoral rejected Gladson Camelí’s candidacy under the Ficha Limpa law citing a prior conviction, though appeals remain possible and sustain residual market pricing. Incumbent Márcio Bittar (PL) holds the narrow lead in implied probabilities, supported by name recognition and party structure, while Mara Rocha (Republicanos) follows closely amid competition for the second seat. Jorge Viana (PT) and lower-polling names trail. With voters selecting two senators and polls showing clustered support among frontrunners, shifts in legal outcomes, campaign momentum, or turnout among key regional blocs could widen the gap before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$39,246Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent legal developments have shaped trader positioning in the Acre Senate race for first place ahead of the October 4 vote. The Tribunal Regional Eleitoral rejected Gladson Camelí’s candidacy under the Ficha Limpa law citing a prior conviction, though appeals remain possible and sustain residual market pricing. Incumbent Márcio Bittar (PL) holds the narrow lead in implied probabilities, supported by name recognition and party structure, while Mara Rocha (Republicanos) follows closely amid competition for the second seat. Jorge Viana (PT) and lower-polling names trail. With voters selecting two senators and polls showing clustered support among frontrunners, shifts in legal outcomes, campaign momentum, or turnout among key regional blocs could widen the gap before election day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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