Recent polling from early September shows Cid Gomes leading consolidated intentions for one of Ceará’s two Senate seats, leaving a tight contest for second place between Luizianne Lins and Capitão Wagner. Multiple surveys place the pair within a few points of each other at roughly 20 percent each, with Alcides Fernandes trailing but still registering double digits in some samples. High numbers of undecided and blank responses, combined with voters’ ability to split tickets across two candidates, keep the second-vacancy outcome fluid. Traders appear to view Luizianne’s positioning slightly ahead of Wagner’s on current data, while assigning lower probabilities to Cid finishing second or to any of the remaining registered candidates closing the gap before the October 4 vote.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoLuizianne 43%
Capitão Wagner 37%
Cid Gomes 20%
Alcides Fernandes 4.6%
$36,440 Vol.
$36,440 Vol.
4 out 2026
Luizianne
43%
Capitão Wagner
37%
Cid Gomes
20%
Alcides Fernandes
5%
Lino Alves
1%
Guilherme Theophilo
<1%
Catarina Matos
<1%
Reginaldo
<1%
Luizianne 43%
Capitão Wagner 37%
Cid Gomes 20%
Alcides Fernandes 4.6%
$36,440 Vol.
$36,440 Vol.
4 out 2026
Luizianne
$11,611 Vol.
43%
Capitão Wagner
$14,298 Vol.
37%
Cid Gomes
$4,901 Vol.
20%
Alcides Fernandes
$1,095 Vol.
5%
Lino Alves
$942 Vol.
1%
Guilherme Theophilo
$820 Vol.
<1%
Catarina Matos
$1,538 Vol.
<1%
Reginaldo
$1,234 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from early September shows Cid Gomes leading consolidated intentions for one of Ceará’s two Senate seats, leaving a tight contest for second place between Luizianne Lins and Capitão Wagner. Multiple surveys place the pair within a few points of each other at roughly 20 percent each, with Alcides Fernandes trailing but still registering double digits in some samples. High numbers of undecided and blank responses, combined with voters’ ability to split tickets across two candidates, keep the second-vacancy outcome fluid. Traders appear to view Luizianne’s positioning slightly ahead of Wagner’s on current data, while assigning lower probabilities to Cid finishing second or to any of the remaining registered candidates closing the gap before the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado Aberto: Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ET
Volume
$36,440Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from early September shows Cid Gomes leading consolidated intentions for one of Ceará’s two Senate seats, leaving a tight contest for second place between Luizianne Lins and Capitão Wagner. Multiple surveys place the pair within a few points of each other at roughly 20 percent each, with Alcides Fernandes trailing but still registering double digits in some samples. High numbers of undecided and blank responses, combined with voters’ ability to split tickets across two candidates, keep the second-vacancy outcome fluid. Traders appear to view Luizianne’s positioning slightly ahead of Wagner’s on current data, while assigning lower probabilities to Cid finishing second or to any of the remaining registered candidates closing the gap before the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$36,440Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from early September shows Cid Gomes leading consolidated intentions for one of Ceará’s two Senate seats, leaving a tight contest for second place between Luizianne Lins and Capitão Wagner. Multiple surveys place the pair within a few points of each other at roughly 20 percent each, with Alcides Fernandes trailing but still registering double digits in some samples. High numbers of undecided and blank responses, combined with voters’ ability to split tickets across two candidates, keep the second-vacancy outcome fluid. Traders appear to view Luizianne’s positioning slightly ahead of Wagner’s on current data, while assigning lower probabilities to Cid finishing second or to any of the remaining registered candidates closing the gap before the October 4 vote.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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