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Polityka·Brazylia

Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Winner

icon for Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Winner
Polityka·Brazylia

Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Winner

Allyson 62%

Cadu de Lula 20%

Álvaro Dias 12%

Professor Roberio Paulino <1%

Polymarket

$20,732 Wol.

Allyson 62%

Cadu de Lula 20%

Álvaro Dias 12%

Professor Roberio Paulino <1%

Polymarket

$20,732 Wol.

icon for Allyson

Allyson

$8,838 Wol.

62%

icon for Cadu de Lula

Cadu de Lula

$6,417 Wol.

20%

icon for Álvaro Dias

Álvaro Dias

$1,815 Wol.

12%

icon for Professor Roberio Paulino

Professor Roberio Paulino

$698 Wol.

<1%

icon for Rodrigo Bolsonaro

Rodrigo Bolsonaro

$671 Wol.

<1%

icon for Arinalda do MLB

Arinalda do MLB

$556 Wol.

<1%

icon for Carlos Jararaca

Carlos Jararaca

$579 Wol.

<1%

icon for Dário Barbosa

Dário Barbosa

$575 Wol.

<1%

icon for Henrique Lyra

Henrique Lyra

$584 Wol.

<1%

The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Allyson Bezerra (União Brasil), the former mayor of Mossoró, holds the leading position in the Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial race at 62% implied probability, reflecting recent polling trends that place him ahead or in a technical tie with Cadu Xavier (PT) and Álvaro Dias (PL). Late August surveys from Quaest, Consult/Tribuna do Norte, and others showed Allyson at 25–42% in the first round, benefiting from strong interior support, a broad coalition including MDB and PSD, and lower rejection rates compared to rivals. Cadu, backed by term-limited incumbent Fátima Bezerra and President Lula, trails at 20% amid higher rejection figures, while Álvaro (PL) sits at 11.5%. Minor candidates register negligible support. The October 4 first-round vote and potential October 25 runoff remain the key resolution triggers, with ongoing campaign events on security and infrastructure continuing to shape trader assessments of the frontrunner's path.

The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$20,732
Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...
The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Allyson Bezerra (União Brasil), the former mayor of Mossoró, holds the leading position in the Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial race at 62% implied probability, reflecting recent polling trends that place him ahead or in a technical tie with Cadu Xavier (PT) and Álvaro Dias (PL). Late August surveys from Quaest, Consult/Tribuna do Norte, and others showed Allyson at 25–42% in the first round, benefiting from strong interior support, a broad coalition including MDB and PSD, and lower rejection rates compared to rivals. Cadu, backed by term-limited incumbent Fátima Bezerra and President Lula, trails at 20% amid higher rejection figures, while Álvaro (PL) sits at 11.5%. Minor candidates register negligible support. The October 4 first-round vote and potential October 25 runoff remain the key resolution triggers, with ongoing campaign events on security and infrastructure continuing to shape trader assessments of the frontrunner's path.

The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$20,732
Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...

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Często zadawane pytania

"Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Winner" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 9 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Allyson" z 62%, za nim "Cadu de Lula" z 20%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 62¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 62% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Winner" wygenerował $20.7K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Aug 17, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Winner", przeglądaj 9 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Winner" jest "Allyson" z 62%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 62% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Cadu de Lula" z 20%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Winner" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.