Recent U.S. consumer price data showing a modest July rebound to +0.1% month-over-month after June's sharp decline has shaped expectations for August, with energy price stabilization and persistent shelter costs supporting a modest sequential increase. Traders are positioning around outcomes near recent prints amid subdued core trends and easing annual inflation to 3.4%, while monitoring labor market signals and commodity movements ahead of the September 11 release. Market-implied odds reflect consensus on contained pressures consistent with the post-energy spike trajectory, though volatility in gasoline and food components could still influence the final figure.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAugust Inflation US - Monthly
0.4% 52%
0.3% 36%
≥0.5% 13%
0.2% 3.5%
$59,369 Wol.
$59,369 Wol.
≤-0.3%
<1%
-0.2%
<1%
-0.1%
<1%
0.0%
<1%
0.1%
<1%
0.2%
4%
0.3%
36%
0.4%
52%
≥0.5%
13%
0.4% 52%
0.3% 36%
≥0.5% 13%
0.2% 3.5%
$59,369 Wol.
$59,369 Wol.
≤-0.3%
<1%
-0.2%
<1%
-0.1%
<1%
0.0%
<1%
0.1%
<1%
0.2%
4%
0.3%
36%
0.4%
52%
≥0.5%
13%
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent U.S. consumer price data showing a modest July rebound to +0.1% month-over-month after June's sharp decline has shaped expectations for August, with energy price stabilization and persistent shelter costs supporting a modest sequential increase. Traders are positioning around outcomes near recent prints amid subdued core trends and easing annual inflation to 3.4%, while monitoring labor market signals and commodity movements ahead of the September 11 release. Market-implied odds reflect consensus on contained pressures consistent with the post-energy spike trajectory, though volatility in gasoline and food components could still influence the final figure.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano

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