Recent monthly CPI readings for China have hovered between 0.5% and 0.8% year-on-year through August 2026, supported by rising energy and transport costs linked to global commodity pressures while food prices, particularly pork, continue to exert downward pressure. Weak domestic demand and persistent economic slack have kept core inflation near 1%, aligning with IMF and analyst projections for a full-year average near 0.9%. These dynamics have reinforced trader consensus around the 0.6–1.0% band, as base effects and subdued consumer spending limit upside risks despite modest reflation signals from producer prices.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoChina Annual Inflation 2026
0.6 – 1.0% 63%
0.1 – 0.5% 23.8%
1.1 – 1.5% 11%
-0.4 – 0.0% 2.0%
$82,622 Wol.
$82,622 Wol.
<-1.0%
1%
-0.9 – -0.5%
<1%
-0.4 – 0.0%
2%
0.1 – 0.5%
24%
0.6 – 1.0%
63%
1.1 – 1.5%
11%
1.6 – 2.0%
<1%
2.0-2.4%
2%
2.5%+
<1%
0.6 – 1.0% 63%
0.1 – 0.5% 23.8%
1.1 – 1.5% 11%
-0.4 – 0.0% 2.0%
$82,622 Wol.
$82,622 Wol.
<-1.0%
1%
-0.9 – -0.5%
<1%
-0.4 – 0.0%
2%
0.1 – 0.5%
24%
0.6 – 1.0%
63%
1.1 – 1.5%
11%
1.6 – 2.0%
<1%
2.0-2.4%
2%
2.5%+
<1%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Rynek otwarty: Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Rozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Recent monthly CPI readings for China have hovered between 0.5% and 0.8% year-on-year through August 2026, supported by rising energy and transport costs linked to global commodity pressures while food prices, particularly pork, continue to exert downward pressure. Weak domestic demand and persistent economic slack have kept core inflation near 1%, aligning with IMF and analyst projections for a full-year average near 0.9%. These dynamics have reinforced trader consensus around the 0.6–1.0% band, as base effects and subdued consumer spending limit upside risks despite modest reflation signals from producer prices.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano


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