Argentina's August 2026 consumer price index rose 1.7% month-over-month per INDEC data released September 10, landing squarely in the 1.5-1.7% range that commands near-certain market-implied odds. Traders priced in this outcome based on the continuation of gradual disinflation from July's 2.1% print, supported by subdued seasonal price pressures, stable core inflation near 1.8%, and year-to-date accumulation of 21.3%. Housing and education components contributed modestly while clothing posted declines, aligning with analyst forecasts around 1.7% and central bank expectations for sustained moderation. A surprise upside in regulated prices or sharper seasonal spikes could have tested the bounds, though such shifts would require material deviations from observed trends in services and goods.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoArgentina Monthly Inflation - August
1.5-1.7% 100.0%
≤1.1% <1%
1.2-1.4% <1%
1.8-2.0% <1%
$35,560 Wol.
$35,560 Wol.
≤1.1%
No
1.2-1.4%
No
1.5-1.7%
Yes
1.8-2.0%
No
2.1-2.3%
No
2.4-2.6%
No
2.7-2.9%
No
3.0%+
No
1.5-1.7% 100.0%
≤1.1% <1%
1.2-1.4% <1%
1.8-2.0% <1%
$35,560 Wol.
$35,560 Wol.
≤1.1%
No
1.2-1.4%
No
1.5-1.7%
Yes
1.8-2.0%
No
2.1-2.3%
No
2.4-2.6%
No
2.7-2.9%
No
3.0%+
No
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 14, 2026, 2:49 PM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Argentina's August 2026 consumer price index rose 1.7% month-over-month per INDEC data released September 10, landing squarely in the 1.5-1.7% range that commands near-certain market-implied odds. Traders priced in this outcome based on the continuation of gradual disinflation from July's 2.1% print, supported by subdued seasonal price pressures, stable core inflation near 1.8%, and year-to-date accumulation of 21.3%. Housing and education components contributed modestly while clothing posted declines, aligning with analyst forecasts around 1.7% and central bank expectations for sustained moderation. A surprise upside in regulated prices or sharper seasonal spikes could have tested the bounds, though such shifts would require material deviations from observed trends in services and goods.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano


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