Recent July CPI data at 3.4% year-over-year, down from 3.5% in June, anchors trader expectations for August as the September 11 release approaches, with consensus forecasts holding the annual rate near 3.4%. Market-implied odds concentrate on 3.3–3.5%, reflecting anticipated stability amid a modest monthly rebound driven by energy prices and shelter costs, while core CPI trends softer toward 2.3–2.5% as goods prices ease and services inflation remains contained. Key swing factors include gasoline rebounds and tariff-sensitive categories, against a backdrop of persistent but moderating underlying pressures above the Fed’s 2% target.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAugust Inflation US - Annual
August Inflation US - Annual
3.4% 48%
3.3% 31%
3.5% 16%
3.2% 6.4%
$92,217 Wol.
$92,217 Wol.
Sep 10, 2026
≤2.9%
<1%
3.0%
1%
3.1%
1%
3.2%
6%
3.3%
31%
3.4%
48%
3.5%
16%
3.6%
2%
3.7%
<1%
3.8%
1%
3.9%
<1%
≥4.0%
<1%
3.4% 48%
3.3% 31%
3.5% 16%
3.2% 6.4%
$92,217 Wol.
$92,217 Wol.
Sep 10, 2026
≤2.9%
$2,494 Wol.
<1%
3.0%
$2,422 Wol.
1%
3.1%
$2,389 Wol.
1%
3.2%
$3,470 Wol.
6%
3.3%
$18,807 Wol.
31%
3.4%
$33,218 Wol.
48%
3.5%
$13,963 Wol.
16%
3.6%
$3,576 Wol.
2%
3.7%
$2,496 Wol.
<1%
3.8%
$2,558 Wol.
1%
3.9%
$2,792 Wol.
<1%
≥4.0%
$4,032 Wol.
<1%
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July CPI data at 3.4% year-over-year, down from 3.5% in June, anchors trader expectations for August as the September 11 release approaches, with consensus forecasts holding the annual rate near 3.4%. Market-implied odds concentrate on 3.3–3.5%, reflecting anticipated stability amid a modest monthly rebound driven by energy prices and shelter costs, while core CPI trends softer toward 2.3–2.5% as goods prices ease and services inflation remains contained. Key swing factors include gasoline rebounds and tariff-sensitive categories, against a backdrop of persistent but moderating underlying pressures above the Fed’s 2% target.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
Wolumen
$92,217Data zakończenia
Sep 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July CPI data at 3.4% year-over-year, down from 3.5% in June, anchors trader expectations for August as the September 11 release approaches, with consensus forecasts holding the annual rate near 3.4%. Market-implied odds concentrate on 3.3–3.5%, reflecting anticipated stability amid a modest monthly rebound driven by energy prices and shelter costs, while core CPI trends softer toward 2.3–2.5% as goods prices ease and services inflation remains contained. Key swing factors include gasoline rebounds and tariff-sensitive categories, against a backdrop of persistent but moderating underlying pressures above the Fed’s 2% target.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Wolumen
$92,217Data zakończenia
Sep 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent July CPI data at 3.4% year-over-year, down from 3.5% in June, anchors trader expectations for August as the September 11 release approaches, with consensus forecasts holding the annual rate near 3.4%. Market-implied odds concentrate on 3.3–3.5%, reflecting anticipated stability amid a modest monthly rebound driven by energy prices and shelter costs, while core CPI trends softer toward 2.3–2.5% as goods prices ease and services inflation remains contained. Key swing factors include gasoline rebounds and tariff-sensitive categories, against a backdrop of persistent but moderating underlying pressures above the Fed’s 2% target.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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