South Africa’s 2026 annual inflation outlook centers on the 4.4% average projected by the South African Reserve Bank, amid a recent fuel-driven spike to 5.0% in June that eased to 4.3% in July. Geopolitical pressures from the Iran-related conflict and higher oil prices via the Strait of Hormuz lifted transport costs sharply earlier in the year, prompting a May rate hike to 7% and upward forecast revisions, though the MPC held policy steady in July while noting improving but still-elevated readings above the 3% target. A September central bank study reinforces that expectations have anchored near 3.6% among professionals, with a 78% probability of staying within the 2–4% band absent further shocks. Traders’ heaviest positioning around 4.4–4.7% reflects this baseline alongside residual upside risks from energy and currency volatility ahead of the September 23 MPC decision and subsequent CPI releases.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoSouth Africa Annual Inflation 2026
South Africa Annual Inflation 2026
4.4-4.7% 21.4%
>5.0% 19.2%
4.7-5.0% 14.2%
3.2-3.5% 6.1%
$43,668 Wol.
$43,668 Wol.
Jan 19, 2027
<2.6%
<1%
2.6-2.9%
1%
2.9-3.2%
5%
3.2-3.5%
6%
3.5-3.8%
4%
3.8-4.1%
6%
4.1-4.4%
5%
4.4-4.7%
21%
4.7-5.0%
14%
>5.0%
19%
4.4-4.7% 21.4%
>5.0% 19.2%
4.7-5.0% 14.2%
3.2-3.5% 6.1%
$43,668 Wol.
$43,668 Wol.
Jan 19, 2027
<2.6%
$1,305 Wol.
<1%
2.6-2.9%
$1,949 Wol.
1%
2.9-3.2%
$1,649 Wol.
5%
3.2-3.5%
$1,354 Wol.
6%
3.5-3.8%
$1,883 Wol.
4%
3.8-4.1%
$3,533 Wol.
6%
4.1-4.4%
$3,494 Wol.
5%
4.4-4.7%
$15,099 Wol.
21%
4.7-5.0%
$4,129 Wol.
14%
>5.0%
$9,273 Wol.
19%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874South Africa’s 2026 annual inflation outlook centers on the 4.4% average projected by the South African Reserve Bank, amid a recent fuel-driven spike to 5.0% in June that eased to 4.3% in July. Geopolitical pressures from the Iran-related conflict and higher oil prices via the Strait of Hormuz lifted transport costs sharply earlier in the year, prompting a May rate hike to 7% and upward forecast revisions, though the MPC held policy steady in July while noting improving but still-elevated readings above the 3% target. A September central bank study reinforces that expectations have anchored near 3.6% among professionals, with a 78% probability of staying within the 2–4% band absent further shocks. Traders’ heaviest positioning around 4.4–4.7% reflects this baseline alongside residual upside risks from energy and currency volatility ahead of the September 23 MPC decision and subsequent CPI releases.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
Rynek otwarty: Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
Wolumen
$43,668Data zakończenia
Jan 20, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874South Africa’s 2026 annual inflation outlook centers on the 4.4% average projected by the South African Reserve Bank, amid a recent fuel-driven spike to 5.0% in June that eased to 4.3% in July. Geopolitical pressures from the Iran-related conflict and higher oil prices via the Strait of Hormuz lifted transport costs sharply earlier in the year, prompting a May rate hike to 7% and upward forecast revisions, though the MPC held policy steady in July while noting improving but still-elevated readings above the 3% target. A September central bank study reinforces that expectations have anchored near 3.6% among professionals, with a 78% probability of staying within the 2–4% band absent further shocks. Traders’ heaviest positioning around 4.4–4.7% reflects this baseline alongside residual upside risks from energy and currency volatility ahead of the September 23 MPC decision and subsequent CPI releases.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
Wolumen
$43,668Data zakończenia
Jan 20, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...South Africa’s 2026 annual inflation outlook centers on the 4.4% average projected by the South African Reserve Bank, amid a recent fuel-driven spike to 5.0% in June that eased to 4.3% in July. Geopolitical pressures from the Iran-related conflict and higher oil prices via the Strait of Hormuz lifted transport costs sharply earlier in the year, prompting a May rate hike to 7% and upward forecast revisions, though the MPC held policy steady in July while noting improving but still-elevated readings above the 3% target. A September central bank study reinforces that expectations have anchored near 3.6% among professionals, with a 78% probability of staying within the 2–4% band absent further shocks. Traders’ heaviest positioning around 4.4–4.7% reflects this baseline alongside residual upside risks from energy and currency volatility ahead of the September 23 MPC decision and subsequent CPI releases.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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