Recent polling from late August shows Arthur Lira holding a narrow lead in combined first- and second-choice intentions for Alagoas’s two Senate seats, ahead of Renan Calheiros and Marina JHC, with other names trailing further behind. Traders appear to price this edge into Lira’s 42% odds while keeping Renan and Marina in the 20-30% range, reflecting the state’s pattern of competitive races among established political families. High undecided and blank/null shares in surveys, plus the mechanics of voters selecting two distinct candidates, sustain the tight positioning across contenders. No major campaign shifts or endorsements have emerged in the past month to widen gaps ahead of the October election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoArthur Lira 43%
Renan 29%
Marina JHC 21.3%
Alexandre Fleming 1.8%
$21,742 Wol.
$21,742 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Arthur Lira
43%
Renan
36%
Marina JHC
21%
Alexandre Fleming
2%
Dr. Wanderley
1%
Mariedson
<1%
Davi Davino Filho
<1%
Arthur Lira 43%
Renan 29%
Marina JHC 21.3%
Alexandre Fleming 1.8%
$21,742 Wol.
$21,742 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Arthur Lira
$11,336 Wol.
43%
Renan
$7,341 Wol.
36%
Marina JHC
$1,275 Wol.
21%
Alexandre Fleming
$453 Wol.
2%
Dr. Wanderley
$536 Wol.
1%
Mariedson
$408 Wol.
<1%
Davi Davino Filho
$393 Wol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from late August shows Arthur Lira holding a narrow lead in combined first- and second-choice intentions for Alagoas’s two Senate seats, ahead of Renan Calheiros and Marina JHC, with other names trailing further behind. Traders appear to price this edge into Lira’s 42% odds while keeping Renan and Marina in the 20-30% range, reflecting the state’s pattern of competitive races among established political families. High undecided and blank/null shares in surveys, plus the mechanics of voters selecting two distinct candidates, sustain the tight positioning across contenders. No major campaign shifts or endorsements have emerged in the past month to widen gaps ahead of the October election.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 5:51 AM ET
Wolumen
$21,742Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 5:51 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from late August shows Arthur Lira holding a narrow lead in combined first- and second-choice intentions for Alagoas’s two Senate seats, ahead of Renan Calheiros and Marina JHC, with other names trailing further behind. Traders appear to price this edge into Lira’s 42% odds while keeping Renan and Marina in the 20-30% range, reflecting the state’s pattern of competitive races among established political families. High undecided and blank/null shares in surveys, plus the mechanics of voters selecting two distinct candidates, sustain the tight positioning across contenders. No major campaign shifts or endorsements have emerged in the past month to widen gaps ahead of the October election.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$21,742Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 5:51 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from late August shows Arthur Lira holding a narrow lead in combined first- and second-choice intentions for Alagoas’s two Senate seats, ahead of Renan Calheiros and Marina JHC, with other names trailing further behind. Traders appear to price this edge into Lira’s 42% odds while keeping Renan and Marina in the 20-30% range, reflecting the state’s pattern of competitive races among established political families. High undecided and blank/null shares in surveys, plus the mechanics of voters selecting two distinct candidates, sustain the tight positioning across contenders. No major campaign shifts or endorsements have emerged in the past month to widen gaps ahead of the October election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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