Recent polling from early September shows Benedita da Silva (PT) maintaining a clear lead for one Senate seat, while Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos) has edged ahead of rivals including Carlos Jordy (PL), Pedro Paulo (PSD), and incumbent Carlos Portinho (PL) for the second position. Quaest data released September 8 placed Crivella at 8% in combined voting intentions compared to 6% for the next group, reflecting modest momentum amid high undecided and blank/null shares exceeding 40% in some surveys. This positioning aligns with trader consensus favoring Crivella for second place, though the contest remains fluid given overlapping support bases, coalition dynamics, and limited name recognition for many listed contenders. Upcoming campaign events and further surveys could shift relative standings before the October 4 vote.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMarcelo Crivella 56.0%
Benedita da Silva 16%
Carlos Jordy 14%
Pedro Paulo 11.8%
$53,384 Wol.
$53,384 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Marcelo Crivella
56%
Benedita da Silva
16%
Carlos Jordy
14%
Pedro Paulo
12%
Carlos Portinho
3%
Monica Benicio
1%
Waguinho
<1%
Marcos Dias
<1%
Ó Clemente
<1%
André Monteiro
<1%
Helio Secco
<1%
Luciano Mattos
<1%
Luiz Eugenio
<1%
Michelly Xavier
<1%
Paula Falcão
<1%
Vinicius Benevides
<1%
Marcelo Crivella 56.0%
Benedita da Silva 16%
Carlos Jordy 14%
Pedro Paulo 11.8%
$53,384 Wol.
$53,384 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Marcelo Crivella
$7,811 Wol.
56%
Benedita da Silva
$9,522 Wol.
16%
Carlos Jordy
$11,143 Wol.
14%
Pedro Paulo
$7,807 Wol.
12%
Carlos Portinho
$5,369 Wol.
3%
Monica Benicio
$2,052 Wol.
1%
Waguinho
$1,319 Wol.
<1%
Marcos Dias
$896 Wol.
<1%
Ó Clemente
$1,292 Wol.
<1%
André Monteiro
$2,185 Wol.
<1%
Helio Secco
$1,128 Wol.
<1%
Luciano Mattos
$597 Wol.
<1%
Luiz Eugenio
$608 Wol.
<1%
Michelly Xavier
$601 Wol.
<1%
Paula Falcão
$520 Wol.
<1%
Vinicius Benevides
$533 Wol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from early September shows Benedita da Silva (PT) maintaining a clear lead for one Senate seat, while Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos) has edged ahead of rivals including Carlos Jordy (PL), Pedro Paulo (PSD), and incumbent Carlos Portinho (PL) for the second position. Quaest data released September 8 placed Crivella at 8% in combined voting intentions compared to 6% for the next group, reflecting modest momentum amid high undecided and blank/null shares exceeding 40% in some surveys. This positioning aligns with trader consensus favoring Crivella for second place, though the contest remains fluid given overlapping support bases, coalition dynamics, and limited name recognition for many listed contenders. Upcoming campaign events and further surveys could shift relative standings before the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
Wolumen
$53,384Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from early September shows Benedita da Silva (PT) maintaining a clear lead for one Senate seat, while Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos) has edged ahead of rivals including Carlos Jordy (PL), Pedro Paulo (PSD), and incumbent Carlos Portinho (PL) for the second position. Quaest data released September 8 placed Crivella at 8% in combined voting intentions compared to 6% for the next group, reflecting modest momentum amid high undecided and blank/null shares exceeding 40% in some surveys. This positioning aligns with trader consensus favoring Crivella for second place, though the contest remains fluid given overlapping support bases, coalition dynamics, and limited name recognition for many listed contenders. Upcoming campaign events and further surveys could shift relative standings before the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$53,384Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from early September shows Benedita da Silva (PT) maintaining a clear lead for one Senate seat, while Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos) has edged ahead of rivals including Carlos Jordy (PL), Pedro Paulo (PSD), and incumbent Carlos Portinho (PL) for the second position. Quaest data released September 8 placed Crivella at 8% in combined voting intentions compared to 6% for the next group, reflecting modest momentum amid high undecided and blank/null shares exceeding 40% in some surveys. This positioning aligns with trader consensus favoring Crivella for second place, though the contest remains fluid given overlapping support bases, coalition dynamics, and limited name recognition for many listed contenders. Upcoming campaign events and further surveys could shift relative standings before the October 4 vote.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania