Recent polling from September shows a tight three-way contest for Alagoas’s two Senate seats, with Renan Calheiros (MDB), Marina JHC (PSDB), and Arthur Lira (PP) statistically tied within margins of error in consolidated first- and second-choice votes. The dual-vote system and persistently high undecided rates (often near 20%) sustain the close positioning for second place. Longstanding rivalry between the Lira and Calheiros political groups, along with Marina JHC’s coalition backing, keeps the race competitive. Official candidacies are confirmed ahead of the October 4 election, with limited late shifts reported. Traders price Lira slightly ahead for a top-two finish but reflect uncertainty over final ordering among the leaders.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoArthur Lira 47%
Renan 33%
Marina JHC 19%
Davi Davino Filho 6.0%
$25,036 Wol.
$25,036 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Arthur Lira
47%
Renan
33%
Marina JHC
19%
Davi Davino Filho
6%
Dr. Wanderley
1%
Alexandre Fleming
<1%
Mariedson
<1%
Arthur Lira 47%
Renan 33%
Marina JHC 19%
Davi Davino Filho 6.0%
$25,036 Wol.
$25,036 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Arthur Lira
$6,254 Wol.
47%
Renan
$9,493 Wol.
33%
Marina JHC
$5,271 Wol.
19%
Davi Davino Filho
$1,116 Wol.
6%
Dr. Wanderley
$1,424 Wol.
1%
Alexandre Fleming
$716 Wol.
<1%
Mariedson
$763 Wol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from September shows a tight three-way contest for Alagoas’s two Senate seats, with Renan Calheiros (MDB), Marina JHC (PSDB), and Arthur Lira (PP) statistically tied within margins of error in consolidated first- and second-choice votes. The dual-vote system and persistently high undecided rates (often near 20%) sustain the close positioning for second place. Longstanding rivalry between the Lira and Calheiros political groups, along with Marina JHC’s coalition backing, keeps the race competitive. Official candidacies are confirmed ahead of the October 4 election, with limited late shifts reported. Traders price Lira slightly ahead for a top-two finish but reflect uncertainty over final ordering among the leaders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 5:51 AM ET
Wolumen
$25,036Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 5:51 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from September shows a tight three-way contest for Alagoas’s two Senate seats, with Renan Calheiros (MDB), Marina JHC (PSDB), and Arthur Lira (PP) statistically tied within margins of error in consolidated first- and second-choice votes. The dual-vote system and persistently high undecided rates (often near 20%) sustain the close positioning for second place. Longstanding rivalry between the Lira and Calheiros political groups, along with Marina JHC’s coalition backing, keeps the race competitive. Official candidacies are confirmed ahead of the October 4 election, with limited late shifts reported. Traders price Lira slightly ahead for a top-two finish but reflect uncertainty over final ordering among the leaders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$25,036Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 5:51 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from September shows a tight three-way contest for Alagoas’s two Senate seats, with Renan Calheiros (MDB), Marina JHC (PSDB), and Arthur Lira (PP) statistically tied within margins of error in consolidated first- and second-choice votes. The dual-vote system and persistently high undecided rates (often near 20%) sustain the close positioning for second place. Longstanding rivalry between the Lira and Calheiros political groups, along with Marina JHC’s coalition backing, keeps the race competitive. Official candidacies are confirmed ahead of the October 4 election, with limited late shifts reported. Traders price Lira slightly ahead for a top-two finish but reflect uncertainty over final ordering among the leaders.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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