Recent monthly inflation prints, including the August 2026 year-over-year rate of 3.26% that edged above July’s 3.12% low, have reinforced trader focus on the 4.00–4.49% band for Mexico’s full-year 2026 outcome. Disinflation from the first-quarter peak near 4.6% has been driven by energy subsidies and softer non-core components, yet core inflation remains elevated near 3.9%, reflecting sticky services prices. Banxico’s decision to hold the policy rate at 6.50% signals caution amid upside risks from peso movements and external shocks, while consensus forecasts cluster around 3.5–4.1% for year-end. These dynamics support the market-implied probability of 37.5% for the 4.00–4.49% range as the leading outcome, with lower bands gaining traction only if further cooling materializes before year-end data finalize the annual figure.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日4.00％〜4.49％ 38%
3.00％〜3.49％ 21.2%
3.50％〜3.99％ 17.4%
4.50％～4.99％ 8%
$67,282 Vol.
$67,282 Vol.
2027/01/07
2.50%未満
6%
2.50％から2.99％
6%
3.00％〜3.49％
21%
3.50％〜3.99％
17%
4.00％〜4.49％
38%
4.50％～4.99％
8%
5.00%から5.49%
4%
5.50％以上
1%
4.00％〜4.49％ 38%
3.00％〜3.49％ 21.2%
3.50％〜3.99％ 17.4%
4.50％～4.99％ 8%
$67,282 Vol.
$67,282 Vol.
2027/01/07
2.50%未満
$1,195 Vol.
6%
2.50％から2.99％
$4,895 Vol.
6%
3.00％〜3.49％
$29,128 Vol.
21%
3.50％〜3.99％
$4,248 Vol.
17%
4.00％〜4.49％
$13,991 Vol.
38%
4.50％～4.99％
$4,932 Vol.
8%
5.00%から5.49%
$2,577 Vol.
4%
5.50％以上
$6,318 Vol.
1%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendarioRecent monthly inflation prints, including the August 2026 year-over-year rate of 3.26% that edged above July’s 3.12% low, have reinforced trader focus on the 4.00–4.49% band for Mexico’s full-year 2026 outcome. Disinflation from the first-quarter peak near 4.6% has been driven by energy subsidies and softer non-core components, yet core inflation remains elevated near 3.9%, reflecting sticky services prices. Banxico’s decision to hold the policy rate at 6.50% signals caution amid upside risks from peso movements and external shocks, while consensus forecasts cluster around 3.5–4.1% for year-end. These dynamics support the market-implied probability of 37.5% for the 4.00–4.49% range as the leading outcome, with lower bands gaining traction only if further cooling materializes before year-end data finalize the annual figure.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
マーケット開始日： Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
音量
$67,282終了日
2027/01/08マーケット開始日
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendarioRecent monthly inflation prints, including the August 2026 year-over-year rate of 3.26% that edged above July’s 3.12% low, have reinforced trader focus on the 4.00–4.49% band for Mexico’s full-year 2026 outcome. Disinflation from the first-quarter peak near 4.6% has been driven by energy subsidies and softer non-core components, yet core inflation remains elevated near 3.9%, reflecting sticky services prices. Banxico’s decision to hold the policy rate at 6.50% signals caution amid upside risks from peso movements and external shocks, while consensus forecasts cluster around 3.5–4.1% for year-end. These dynamics support the market-implied probability of 37.5% for the 4.00–4.49% range as the leading outcome, with lower bands gaining traction only if further cooling materializes before year-end data finalize the annual figure.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
音量
$67,282終了日
2027/01/08マーケット開始日
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Recent monthly inflation prints, including the August 2026 year-over-year rate of 3.26% that edged above July’s 3.12% low, have reinforced trader focus on the 4.00–4.49% band for Mexico’s full-year 2026 outcome. Disinflation from the first-quarter peak near 4.6% has been driven by energy subsidies and softer non-core components, yet core inflation remains elevated near 3.9%, reflecting sticky services prices. Banxico’s decision to hold the policy rate at 6.50% signals caution amid upside risks from peso movements and external shocks, while consensus forecasts cluster around 3.5–4.1% for year-end. These dynamics support the market-implied probability of 37.5% for the 4.00–4.49% range as the leading outcome, with lower bands gaining traction only if further cooling materializes before year-end data finalize the annual figure.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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