Recent September polling shows a fragmented field for Maranhão’s two Senate seats on October 4, with Roseana Sarney (MDB) holding a narrow edge for first while Weverton Rocha (PDT), Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO), André Fufuca (PP), and Eliziane Gama (PT) remain statistically tied within margins of error for the second position. High undecided shares (often 20-30%) and voters selecting two candidates sustain the tight distribution reflected in current trader consensus. Name recognition from prior governorships, Senate incumbency, and federal roles keeps multiple contenders viable, while ongoing alliances and campaign momentum in the final weeks could consolidate second-place support or shift undecided voters. Late polling shifts or turnout patterns among key regional blocs would most directly affect separation among the top group.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Weverton Rocha 31%
Lahesio Bonfim 26.1%
Fufuca 24%
Roseana Sarney 11%
$35,060 Vol.
$35,060 Vol.
2026/10/04
Weverton Rocha
31%
Lahesio Bonfim
26%
Fufuca
24%
Roseana Sarney
11%
Eliziane Gama
7%
Raimundo Moreira
<1%
Enilton Rodrigues
<1%
Wilson Leite
<1%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
<1%
Cidônio Gonçalves
<1%
Simplício Araújo
<1%
Weverton Rocha 31%
Lahesio Bonfim 26.1%
Fufuca 24%
Roseana Sarney 11%
$35,060 Vol.
$35,060 Vol.
2026/10/04
Weverton Rocha
$12,943 Vol.
31%
Lahesio Bonfim
$2,277 Vol.
26%
Fufuca
$5,749 Vol.
24%
Roseana Sarney
$8,286 Vol.
11%
Eliziane Gama
$1,639 Vol.
7%
Raimundo Moreira
$621 Vol.
<1%
Enilton Rodrigues
$692 Vol.
<1%
Wilson Leite
$633 Vol.
<1%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
$995 Vol.
<1%
Cidônio Gonçalves
$519 Vol.
<1%
Simplício Araújo
$706 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent September polling shows a fragmented field for Maranhão’s two Senate seats on October 4, with Roseana Sarney (MDB) holding a narrow edge for first while Weverton Rocha (PDT), Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO), André Fufuca (PP), and Eliziane Gama (PT) remain statistically tied within margins of error for the second position. High undecided shares (often 20-30%) and voters selecting two candidates sustain the tight distribution reflected in current trader consensus. Name recognition from prior governorships, Senate incumbency, and federal roles keeps multiple contenders viable, while ongoing alliances and campaign momentum in the final weeks could consolidate second-place support or shift undecided voters. Late polling shifts or turnout patterns among key regional blocs would most directly affect separation among the top group.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET
音量
$35,060終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent September polling shows a fragmented field for Maranhão’s two Senate seats on October 4, with Roseana Sarney (MDB) holding a narrow edge for first while Weverton Rocha (PDT), Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO), André Fufuca (PP), and Eliziane Gama (PT) remain statistically tied within margins of error for the second position. High undecided shares (often 20-30%) and voters selecting two candidates sustain the tight distribution reflected in current trader consensus. Name recognition from prior governorships, Senate incumbency, and federal roles keeps multiple contenders viable, while ongoing alliances and campaign momentum in the final weeks could consolidate second-place support or shift undecided voters. Late polling shifts or turnout patterns among key regional blocs would most directly affect separation among the top group.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$35,060終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent September polling shows a fragmented field for Maranhão’s two Senate seats on October 4, with Roseana Sarney (MDB) holding a narrow edge for first while Weverton Rocha (PDT), Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO), André Fufuca (PP), and Eliziane Gama (PT) remain statistically tied within margins of error for the second position. High undecided shares (often 20-30%) and voters selecting two candidates sustain the tight distribution reflected in current trader consensus. Name recognition from prior governorships, Senate incumbency, and federal roles keeps multiple contenders viable, while ongoing alliances and campaign momentum in the final weeks could consolidate second-place support or shift undecided voters. Late polling shifts or turnout patterns among key regional blocs would most directly affect separation among the top group.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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