Recent polling from Datafolha and other surveys shows Michelle Bolsonaro (PL) leading first-place intentions for the Federal District’s two Senate seats, leaving second place contested primarily among incumbent Leila do Vôlei (PDT), Bia Kicis (PL), and Erika Kokay (PT). High undecided rates near 50% in spontaneous polls, combined with voters selecting two distinct candidates in a 13-person field, sustain the tight race for the second spot. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing captures this fragmentation and the influence of party alliances, turnout patterns among key voting blocs, and final-week campaign momentum ahead of the October 4 vote. Late polling shifts, debate performances, or endorsements could widen gaps among the top contenders.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ビア・キシス 43.5%
レイラ・ド・ヴォレイ 35%
エリカ・コカイ <1%
ミシェル・ボルソナロ <1%
$43,513 Vol.
$43,513 Vol.
2026/10/04
ビア・キシス
49%
レイラ・ド・ヴォレイ
32%
エリカ・コカイ
<1%
ミシェル・ボルソナロ
<1%
アヴェニール・ロサ
<1%
デイビッド・ホーン
<1%
グト・フェリシオ・ドス・サントス
<1%
マーリー
<1%
ギリェルメ・アモリム教授
<1%
ロナウド・フォンセカ
<1%
セバスチャン・コエーリョ
<1%
チアゴ
<1%
ザナタ
<1%
ビア・キシス 43.5%
レイラ・ド・ヴォレイ 35%
エリカ・コカイ <1%
ミシェル・ボルソナロ <1%
$43,513 Vol.
$43,513 Vol.
2026/10/04
ビア・キシス
$10,838 Vol.
49%
レイラ・ド・ヴォレイ
$15,367 Vol.
32%
エリカ・コカイ
$6,698 Vol.
<1%
ミシェル・ボルソナロ
$4,711 Vol.
<1%
アヴェニール・ロサ
$437 Vol.
<1%
デイビッド・ホーン
$2,060 Vol.
<1%
グト・フェリシオ・ドス・サントス
$381 Vol.
<1%
マーリー
$392 Vol.
<1%
ギリェルメ・アモリム教授
$878 Vol.
<1%
ロナウド・フォンセカ
$407 Vol.
<1%
セバスチャン・コエーリョ
$381 Vol.
<1%
チアゴ
$546 Vol.
<1%
ザナタ
$417 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Datafolha and other surveys shows Michelle Bolsonaro (PL) leading first-place intentions for the Federal District’s two Senate seats, leaving second place contested primarily among incumbent Leila do Vôlei (PDT), Bia Kicis (PL), and Erika Kokay (PT). High undecided rates near 50% in spontaneous polls, combined with voters selecting two distinct candidates in a 13-person field, sustain the tight race for the second spot. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing captures this fragmentation and the influence of party alliances, turnout patterns among key voting blocs, and final-week campaign momentum ahead of the October 4 vote. Late polling shifts, debate performances, or endorsements could widen gaps among the top contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ET
音量
$43,513終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Datafolha and other surveys shows Michelle Bolsonaro (PL) leading first-place intentions for the Federal District’s two Senate seats, leaving second place contested primarily among incumbent Leila do Vôlei (PDT), Bia Kicis (PL), and Erika Kokay (PT). High undecided rates near 50% in spontaneous polls, combined with voters selecting two distinct candidates in a 13-person field, sustain the tight race for the second spot. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing captures this fragmentation and the influence of party alliances, turnout patterns among key voting blocs, and final-week campaign momentum ahead of the October 4 vote. Late polling shifts, debate performances, or endorsements could widen gaps among the top contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$43,513終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from Datafolha and other surveys shows Michelle Bolsonaro (PL) leading first-place intentions for the Federal District’s two Senate seats, leaving second place contested primarily among incumbent Leila do Vôlei (PDT), Bia Kicis (PL), and Erika Kokay (PT). High undecided rates near 50% in spontaneous polls, combined with voters selecting two distinct candidates in a 13-person field, sustain the tight race for the second spot. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing captures this fragmentation and the influence of party alliances, turnout patterns among key voting blocs, and final-week campaign momentum ahead of the October 4 vote. Late polling shifts, debate performances, or endorsements could widen gaps among the top contenders.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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