Roseana Sarney (MDB) leads recent polling for first place in Maranhão's October 4 Senate contest, reflecting her established name recognition as a former four-term governor and consistent edge in surveys such as the September Real Time Big Data and August Quaest releases. The race stays tightly contested because voters select two senators, leaving a fragmented field where Weverton Rocha (PDT), Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO), André Fufuca (PP), and Eliziane Gama (PT) cluster within margins of error, often near 15 percent or below amid 20-plus percent undecided or blank responses. Trader consensus prices her first-place shares highest while assigning lower implied probabilities to others, consistent with polling trends and the structural dynamics of a multi-candidate, two-seat election still weeks from voting.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Roseana Sarney 54%
Lahesio Bonfim 14.8%
Weverton Rocha 11.6%
Fufuca 8.8%
$27,018 Vol.
$27,018 Vol.
2026/10/04
Roseana Sarney
54%
Lahesio Bonfim
18%
Weverton Rocha
12%
Fufuca
12%
Eliziane Gama
8%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
<1%
Raimundo Moreira
<1%
Simplício Araújo
<1%
Cidônio Gonçalves
<1%
Enilton Rodrigues
<1%
Wilson Leite
<1%
Roseana Sarney 54%
Lahesio Bonfim 14.8%
Weverton Rocha 11.6%
Fufuca 8.8%
$27,018 Vol.
$27,018 Vol.
2026/10/04
Roseana Sarney
$17,009 Vol.
54%
Lahesio Bonfim
$4,098 Vol.
18%
Weverton Rocha
$2,327 Vol.
12%
Fufuca
$596 Vol.
12%
Eliziane Gama
$638 Vol.
8%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
$396 Vol.
<1%
Raimundo Moreira
$412 Vol.
<1%
Simplício Araújo
$372 Vol.
<1%
Cidônio Gonçalves
$405 Vol.
<1%
Enilton Rodrigues
$282 Vol.
<1%
Wilson Leite
$482 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Roseana Sarney (MDB) leads recent polling for first place in Maranhão's October 4 Senate contest, reflecting her established name recognition as a former four-term governor and consistent edge in surveys such as the September Real Time Big Data and August Quaest releases. The race stays tightly contested because voters select two senators, leaving a fragmented field where Weverton Rocha (PDT), Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO), André Fufuca (PP), and Eliziane Gama (PT) cluster within margins of error, often near 15 percent or below amid 20-plus percent undecided or blank responses. Trader consensus prices her first-place shares highest while assigning lower implied probabilities to others, consistent with polling trends and the structural dynamics of a multi-candidate, two-seat election still weeks from voting.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET
音量
$27,018終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Roseana Sarney (MDB) leads recent polling for first place in Maranhão's October 4 Senate contest, reflecting her established name recognition as a former four-term governor and consistent edge in surveys such as the September Real Time Big Data and August Quaest releases. The race stays tightly contested because voters select two senators, leaving a fragmented field where Weverton Rocha (PDT), Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO), André Fufuca (PP), and Eliziane Gama (PT) cluster within margins of error, often near 15 percent or below amid 20-plus percent undecided or blank responses. Trader consensus prices her first-place shares highest while assigning lower implied probabilities to others, consistent with polling trends and the structural dynamics of a multi-candidate, two-seat election still weeks from voting.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$27,018終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Roseana Sarney (MDB) leads recent polling for first place in Maranhão's October 4 Senate contest, reflecting her established name recognition as a former four-term governor and consistent edge in surveys such as the September Real Time Big Data and August Quaest releases. The race stays tightly contested because voters select two senators, leaving a fragmented field where Weverton Rocha (PDT), Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO), André Fufuca (PP), and Eliziane Gama (PT) cluster within margins of error, often near 15 percent or below amid 20-plus percent undecided or blank responses. Trader consensus prices her first-place shares highest while assigning lower implied probabilities to others, consistent with polling trends and the structural dynamics of a multi-candidate, two-seat election still weeks from voting.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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