The closely contested nature of the Acre Senate race for second place stems from a fragmented field of eight registered candidates vying for two seats, with each voter selecting two names. Recent polling through late August showed Gladson Cameli leading but with Márcio Bittar, Jorge Viana, and Mara Rocha within striking distance amid high undecided shares. The most immediate catalyst is the TRE-AC's unanimous September 11 decision barring Cameli under the Ficha Limpa law due to a prior corruption conviction, a ruling subject to appeal that has shifted trader focus toward Bittar and Rocha as potential beneficiaries. Coligação dynamics, regional voting patterns, and the October 4 first-round timeline keep probabilities fluid, as late legal resolutions or turnout shifts among key blocs could reorder the second-place outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日マルシオ・ビッタール 40.1%
マラ・ロシャ 31%
グラッドソン・カメリ 13%
ホルヘ・ヴィアナ 9.5%
$40,952 Vol.
$40,952 Vol.
2026/10/04
マルシオ・ビッタール
44%
マラ・ロシャ
31%
グラッドソン・カメリ
13%
ホルヘ・ヴィアナ
10%
ペテカン
1%
ジュニオール・フェイトーザ博士
<1%
エドゥアルド・ヴェローゾ
<1%
イナシオ・モレイラ教授
<1%
マルシオ・ビッタール 40.1%
マラ・ロシャ 31%
グラッドソン・カメリ 13%
ホルヘ・ヴィアナ 9.5%
$40,952 Vol.
$40,952 Vol.
2026/10/04
マルシオ・ビッタール
$8,056 Vol.
44%
マラ・ロシャ
$15,706 Vol.
31%
グラッドソン・カメリ
$12,028 Vol.
13%
ホルヘ・ヴィアナ
$1,206 Vol.
10%
ペテカン
$1,801 Vol.
1%
ジュニオール・フェイトーザ博士
$781 Vol.
<1%
エドゥアルド・ヴェローゾ
$701 Vol.
<1%
イナシオ・モレイラ教授
$673 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The closely contested nature of the Acre Senate race for second place stems from a fragmented field of eight registered candidates vying for two seats, with each voter selecting two names. Recent polling through late August showed Gladson Cameli leading but with Márcio Bittar, Jorge Viana, and Mara Rocha within striking distance amid high undecided shares. The most immediate catalyst is the TRE-AC's unanimous September 11 decision barring Cameli under the Ficha Limpa law due to a prior corruption conviction, a ruling subject to appeal that has shifted trader focus toward Bittar and Rocha as potential beneficiaries. Coligação dynamics, regional voting patterns, and the October 4 first-round timeline keep probabilities fluid, as late legal resolutions or turnout shifts among key blocs could reorder the second-place outcome.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 5:48 AM ET
音量
$40,952終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:48 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The closely contested nature of the Acre Senate race for second place stems from a fragmented field of eight registered candidates vying for two seats, with each voter selecting two names. Recent polling through late August showed Gladson Cameli leading but with Márcio Bittar, Jorge Viana, and Mara Rocha within striking distance amid high undecided shares. The most immediate catalyst is the TRE-AC's unanimous September 11 decision barring Cameli under the Ficha Limpa law due to a prior corruption conviction, a ruling subject to appeal that has shifted trader focus toward Bittar and Rocha as potential beneficiaries. Coligação dynamics, regional voting patterns, and the October 4 first-round timeline keep probabilities fluid, as late legal resolutions or turnout shifts among key blocs could reorder the second-place outcome.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$40,952終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:48 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The closely contested nature of the Acre Senate race for second place stems from a fragmented field of eight registered candidates vying for two seats, with each voter selecting two names. Recent polling through late August showed Gladson Cameli leading but with Márcio Bittar, Jorge Viana, and Mara Rocha within striking distance amid high undecided shares. The most immediate catalyst is the TRE-AC's unanimous September 11 decision barring Cameli under the Ficha Limpa law due to a prior corruption conviction, a ruling subject to appeal that has shifted trader focus toward Bittar and Rocha as potential beneficiaries. Coligação dynamics, regional voting patterns, and the October 4 first-round timeline keep probabilities fluid, as late legal resolutions or turnout shifts among key blocs could reorder the second-place outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問