Teresa Surita (MDB) holds the clearest edge in trader consensus for first place due to her extensive local record as five-time mayor of Boa Vista and prior federal deputy service, which has translated into a narrow polling lead. The latest Quaest survey from late August placed her at 19% against Nicoletti (PL) at 17% and Helena da Asatur (PSD) at 16%, with Chico Rodrigues (PSB) at 11% and high undecided shares leaving the outcome fluid. Voters cast two ballots for the two seats in the October 4 election, and the fragmented field plus recent legal rulings—such as the bar on Hélio Bolsonaro using that surname—have kept the top contenders closely bunched. Shifts in undecided consolidation, turnout among key regional blocs, or last-minute alliances could still reorder the ranking before ballots close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Teresa Surita 54%
Nicoletti 28.0%
Helio Bolsonaro 4.5%
Helena da Asatur 3.7%
$51,537 Vol.
$51,537 Vol.

Teresa Surita
54%

Nicoletti
28%

Helio Bolsonaro
4%

Helena da Asatur
10%

Chico Rodrigues
3%

Bartô Macuxi
<1%

Hiperion de Oliveira
<1%

Márcio Junqueira
<1%

Mario Rocha
<1%

Rogério Miranda
<1%

Hilton Xavier
<1%

Pastor Isamar
<1%

Regina Tio Ivo
<1%
Teresa Surita 54%
Nicoletti 28.0%
Helio Bolsonaro 4.5%
Helena da Asatur 3.7%
$51,537 Vol.
$51,537 Vol.

Teresa Surita
54%

Nicoletti
28%

Helio Bolsonaro
4%

Helena da Asatur
10%

Chico Rodrigues
3%

Bartô Macuxi
<1%

Hiperion de Oliveira
<1%

Márcio Junqueira
<1%

Mario Rocha
<1%

Rogério Miranda
<1%

Hilton Xavier
<1%

Pastor Isamar
<1%

Regina Tio Ivo
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日: Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Teresa Surita (MDB) holds the clearest edge in trader consensus for first place due to her extensive local record as five-time mayor of Boa Vista and prior federal deputy service, which has translated into a narrow polling lead. The latest Quaest survey from late August placed her at 19% against Nicoletti (PL) at 17% and Helena da Asatur (PSD) at 16%, with Chico Rodrigues (PSB) at 11% and high undecided shares leaving the outcome fluid. Voters cast two ballots for the two seats in the October 4 election, and the fragmented field plus recent legal rulings—such as the bar on Hélio Bolsonaro using that surname—have kept the top contenders closely bunched. Shifts in undecided consolidation, turnout among key regional blocs, or last-minute alliances could still reorder the ranking before ballots close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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