Lula maintains a commanding lead in Pernambuco polling for the first round, reflecting the state's position as a Northeast stronghold where the incumbent has historically drawn strong backing from key voter bases. Recent surveys from AtlasIntel, Quaest, and DataTrends show him at 54-57% support, far ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro and minor candidates, consistent with his 2022 margin exceeding 30 points. Flávio's Northeast campaign stops, including Recife events linking Lula to judicial figures, have not closed the gap materially. Lula's planned state visit ahead of the October vote underscores efforts to consolidate this base amid stable approval ratings around 56%. Scenarios that could narrow his position include unexpected shifts in local turnout or last-minute national developments affecting regional dynamics.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ルーラ 97.6%
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ 1.4%
クラリアナ・バラオ <1%
レナン・サントス <1%
$10,325 Vol.
$10,325 Vol.
2026/10/04
ルーラ
98%
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ
1%
クラリアナ・バラオ
<1%
レナン・サントス
<1%
ゼマ
<1%
エジミルソン・コスタ
<1%
作家アウグスト・クーリ
<1%
ヘルツ・ディアス
<1%
パブロ・マルサウ
<1%
ロナウド・カイアド
<1%
ルイ・コスタ・ピメンタ
<1%
サマラ
<1%
獣医師ウィルソン・グラッシ
<1%
ルーラ 97.6%
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ 1.4%
クラリアナ・バラオ <1%
レナン・サントス <1%
$10,325 Vol.
$10,325 Vol.
2026/10/04
ルーラ
$6,107 Vol.
98%
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ
$402 Vol.
1%
クラリアナ・バラオ
$334 Vol.
<1%
レナン・サントス
$329 Vol.
<1%
ゼマ
$399 Vol.
<1%
エジミルソン・コスタ
$344 Vol.
<1%
作家アウグスト・クーリ
$344 Vol.
<1%
ヘルツ・ディアス
$333 Vol.
<1%
パブロ・マルサウ
$366 Vol.
<1%
ロナウド・カイアド
$421 Vol.
<1%
ルイ・コスタ・ピメンタ
$344 Vol.
<1%
サマラ
$301 Vol.
<1%
獣医師ウィルソン・グラッシ
$300 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding lead in Pernambuco polling for the first round, reflecting the state's position as a Northeast stronghold where the incumbent has historically drawn strong backing from key voter bases. Recent surveys from AtlasIntel, Quaest, and DataTrends show him at 54-57% support, far ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro and minor candidates, consistent with his 2022 margin exceeding 30 points. Flávio's Northeast campaign stops, including Recife events linking Lula to judicial figures, have not closed the gap materially. Lula's planned state visit ahead of the October vote underscores efforts to consolidate this base amid stable approval ratings around 56%. Scenarios that could narrow his position include unexpected shifts in local turnout or last-minute national developments affecting regional dynamics.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ET
音量
$10,325終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding lead in Pernambuco polling for the first round, reflecting the state's position as a Northeast stronghold where the incumbent has historically drawn strong backing from key voter bases. Recent surveys from AtlasIntel, Quaest, and DataTrends show him at 54-57% support, far ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro and minor candidates, consistent with his 2022 margin exceeding 30 points. Flávio's Northeast campaign stops, including Recife events linking Lula to judicial figures, have not closed the gap materially. Lula's planned state visit ahead of the October vote underscores efforts to consolidate this base amid stable approval ratings around 56%. Scenarios that could narrow his position include unexpected shifts in local turnout or last-minute national developments affecting regional dynamics.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
音量
$10,325終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Lula maintains a commanding lead in Pernambuco polling for the first round, reflecting the state's position as a Northeast stronghold where the incumbent has historically drawn strong backing from key voter bases. Recent surveys from AtlasIntel, Quaest, and DataTrends show him at 54-57% support, far ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro and minor candidates, consistent with his 2022 margin exceeding 30 points. Flávio's Northeast campaign stops, including Recife events linking Lula to judicial figures, have not closed the gap materially. Lula's planned state visit ahead of the October vote underscores efforts to consolidate this base amid stable approval ratings around 56%. Scenarios that could narrow his position include unexpected shifts in local turnout or last-minute national developments affecting regional dynamics.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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