Lula holds the strongest position in trader assessments for first place in Tocantins during the October 2026 first round, driven by his status as incumbent president and consistent national polling leads of several points over main rival Flávio Bolsonaro. Recent surveys, including those from Real Time Big Data and national aggregators, show the two candidates nearly tied or with Lula narrowly ahead in the state and countrywide, reflecting steady voter support for the PT amid economic and policy continuity themes. Flávio Bolsonaro’s backing draws from regional conservative preferences and family political legacy in northern states, yet faces headwinds from broader national dynamics and lower visibility on local issues. Other contenders such as Ronaldo Caiado, Augusto Cury, and Renan Santos register minimal shares, limiting their impact on the top spot. The first-round threshold and potential runoff mechanics further shape positioning ahead of voting.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ルラ 69%
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ 32%
エドミルソン・コスタ <1%
作家アウグスト・クリ <1%
$22,731 Vol.
$22,731 Vol.
2026/10/04
ルラ
69%
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ
32%
エドミルソン・コスタ
<1%
作家アウグスト・クリ
<1%
ヘルツ・ディアス
<1%
パブロ・マルサウ
<1%
レナン・サントス
<1%
ロナウド・カイアード
<1%
ルイ・コスタ・ピメンタ
<1%
ゼマ
<1%
クラリアナ・バラオ
<1%
サマラ
<1%
ベテリナリオ・ウィルソン・グラッシ
<1%
ルラ 69%
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ 32%
エドミルソン・コスタ <1%
作家アウグスト・クリ <1%
$22,731 Vol.
$22,731 Vol.
2026/10/04
ルラ
$5,799 Vol.
69%
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ
$10,807 Vol.
32%
エドミルソン・コスタ
$542 Vol.
<1%
作家アウグスト・クリ
$575 Vol.
<1%
ヘルツ・ディアス
$342 Vol.
<1%
パブロ・マルサウ
$1,256 Vol.
<1%
レナン・サントス
$406 Vol.
<1%
ロナウド・カイアード
$438 Vol.
<1%
ルイ・コスタ・ピメンタ
$601 Vol.
<1%
ゼマ
$448 Vol.
<1%
クラリアナ・バラオ
$558 Vol.
<1%
サマラ
$432 Vol.
<1%
ベテリナリオ・ウィルソン・グラッシ
$527 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Tocantins, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Tocantins.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Tocantins. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula holds the strongest position in trader assessments for first place in Tocantins during the October 2026 first round, driven by his status as incumbent president and consistent national polling leads of several points over main rival Flávio Bolsonaro. Recent surveys, including those from Real Time Big Data and national aggregators, show the two candidates nearly tied or with Lula narrowly ahead in the state and countrywide, reflecting steady voter support for the PT amid economic and policy continuity themes. Flávio Bolsonaro’s backing draws from regional conservative preferences and family political legacy in northern states, yet faces headwinds from broader national dynamics and lower visibility on local issues. Other contenders such as Ronaldo Caiado, Augusto Cury, and Renan Santos register minimal shares, limiting their impact on the top spot. The first-round threshold and potential runoff mechanics further shape positioning ahead of voting.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Tocantins, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Tocantins.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Tocantins. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Tocantins.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Tocantins. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ET
音量
$22,731終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Tocantins, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Tocantins.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Tocantins. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula holds the strongest position in trader assessments for first place in Tocantins during the October 2026 first round, driven by his status as incumbent president and consistent national polling leads of several points over main rival Flávio Bolsonaro. Recent surveys, including those from Real Time Big Data and national aggregators, show the two candidates nearly tied or with Lula narrowly ahead in the state and countrywide, reflecting steady voter support for the PT amid economic and policy continuity themes. Flávio Bolsonaro’s backing draws from regional conservative preferences and family political legacy in northern states, yet faces headwinds from broader national dynamics and lower visibility on local issues. Other contenders such as Ronaldo Caiado, Augusto Cury, and Renan Santos register minimal shares, limiting their impact on the top spot. The first-round threshold and potential runoff mechanics further shape positioning ahead of voting.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Tocantins, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Tocantins.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Tocantins. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Tocantins.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Tocantins. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
音量
$22,731終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Lula holds the strongest position in trader assessments for first place in Tocantins during the October 2026 first round, driven by his status as incumbent president and consistent national polling leads of several points over main rival Flávio Bolsonaro. Recent surveys, including those from Real Time Big Data and national aggregators, show the two candidates nearly tied or with Lula narrowly ahead in the state and countrywide, reflecting steady voter support for the PT amid economic and policy continuity themes. Flávio Bolsonaro’s backing draws from regional conservative preferences and family political legacy in northern states, yet faces headwinds from broader national dynamics and lower visibility on local issues. Other contenders such as Ronaldo Caiado, Augusto Cury, and Renan Santos register minimal shares, limiting their impact on the top spot. The first-round threshold and potential runoff mechanics further shape positioning ahead of voting.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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