Eduardo Braga (MDB), the incumbent senator and former governor, maintains a commanding lead in trader assessments for first place in the October 4 Amazonas Senate race due to consistent polling strength in first-choice scenarios. Multiple surveys from June through early September, including Quaest and earlier Direto ao Ponto releases, show him ahead with 25–36% in primeira vaga measurements, bolstered by broad interior support and a broad coalition. Capitão Alberto Neto (PL) trails at 11–23% but has shown localized gains in Manaus and some late-August/September aggregates. Wilson Lima (União) and Plínio Valério (PSDB) register lower single-digit to low-teen figures amid elevated rejection for Lima and vote-splitting across nine registered candidates. High undecided shares and the dual-vote mechanics keep secondary positioning fluid, yet Braga’s incumbency advantage and regional edge sustain market pricing near 81% for the top spot.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日エドゥアルド・ブラガ 82%
カピタン・アルベルト・ネト 11.2%
ウィルソン・リマ 2.3%
プリニオ・ヴァレリオ 1.7%
$38,006 Vol.
$38,006 Vol.

エドゥアルド・ブラガ
82%

カピタン・アルベルト・ネト
11%

ウィルソン・リマ
2%

プリニオ・ヴァレリオ
2%

ダイルソン・コレア
<1%

エヴァンドロ・デ・オリヴェイラ
<1%

イスマエル・ムンドゥルク
<1%

プロフェッサー・エヴァニー
<1%

シュシャ・ド・アマゾナス
<1%
エドゥアルド・ブラガ 82%
カピタン・アルベルト・ネト 11.2%
ウィルソン・リマ 2.3%
プリニオ・ヴァレリオ 1.7%
$38,006 Vol.
$38,006 Vol.

エドゥアルド・ブラガ
82%

カピタン・アルベルト・ネト
11%

ウィルソン・リマ
2%

プリニオ・ヴァレリオ
2%

ダイルソン・コレア
<1%

エヴァンドロ・デ・オリヴェイラ
<1%

イスマエル・ムンドゥルク
<1%

プロフェッサー・エヴァニー
<1%

シュシャ・ド・アマゾナス
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日: Aug 17, 2026, 5:53 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Eduardo Braga (MDB), the incumbent senator and former governor, maintains a commanding lead in trader assessments for first place in the October 4 Amazonas Senate race due to consistent polling strength in first-choice scenarios. Multiple surveys from June through early September, including Quaest and earlier Direto ao Ponto releases, show him ahead with 25–36% in primeira vaga measurements, bolstered by broad interior support and a broad coalition. Capitão Alberto Neto (PL) trails at 11–23% but has shown localized gains in Manaus and some late-August/September aggregates. Wilson Lima (União) and Plínio Valério (PSDB) register lower single-digit to low-teen figures amid elevated rejection for Lima and vote-splitting across nine registered candidates. High undecided shares and the dual-vote mechanics keep secondary positioning fluid, yet Braga’s incumbency advantage and regional edge sustain market pricing near 81% for the top spot.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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