**Helder Barbalho (MDB) holds a commanding lead in recent polling for first place in Pará’s October 4, 2026 Senate election, where voters select two candidates for the state’s two seats.** Multiple September surveys, including Real Time Big Data (Helder at 36% aggregated, 45% first vote) and AtlasIntel (42.8% first vote), place him well ahead of Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) and a cluster of rivals such as Zequinha Marinho (Podemos), Chicão (União Brasil), and Celso Sabino (PDT). Barbalho’s prior governorship, broad coalition backing, and name recognition underpin his position, while the second seat remains competitive. A recent Ministério Público electoral opinion questioned his eligibility over incomplete desincompatibilization from the governorship, though his candidacy remains registered and polling momentum has continued. Trader pricing for first place aligns with this sustained frontrunner status ahead of the single-round vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日エルデル 79%
デレガド・エデル・マウロ 14.1%
ゼキーニャ・マリーニョ 3.2%
エドレーヌ・ロドリゲス 2.2%
$18,416 Vol.
$18,416 Vol.
2026/10/04
エルデル
79%
デレガド・エデル・マウロ
14%
ゼキーニャ・マリーニョ
3%
エドレーヌ・ロドリゲス
2%
ブレノ・ギマランイス
1%
フェルナンダ・ロペス
1%
セルソ・サビーノ
1%
コンティ
<1%
ジゼレ・フレイタス
<1%
チカン
<1%
ウィレム・ダ・シルバ
<1%
エルデル 79%
デレガド・エデル・マウロ 14.1%
ゼキーニャ・マリーニョ 3.2%
エドレーヌ・ロドリゲス 2.2%
$18,416 Vol.
$18,416 Vol.
2026/10/04
エルデル
$12,773 Vol.
79%
デレガド・エデル・マウロ
$635 Vol.
14%
ゼキーニャ・マリーニョ
$574 Vol.
3%
エドレーヌ・ロドリゲス
$609 Vol.
2%
ブレノ・ギマランイス
$534 Vol.
1%
フェルナンダ・ロペス
$731 Vol.
1%
セルソ・サビーノ
$504 Vol.
1%
コンティ
$556 Vol.
<1%
ジゼレ・フレイタス
$567 Vol.
<1%
チカン
$493 Vol.
<1%
ウィレム・ダ・シルバ
$441 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Helder Barbalho (MDB) holds a commanding lead in recent polling for first place in Pará’s October 4, 2026 Senate election, where voters select two candidates for the state’s two seats.** Multiple September surveys, including Real Time Big Data (Helder at 36% aggregated, 45% first vote) and AtlasIntel (42.8% first vote), place him well ahead of Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) and a cluster of rivals such as Zequinha Marinho (Podemos), Chicão (União Brasil), and Celso Sabino (PDT). Barbalho’s prior governorship, broad coalition backing, and name recognition underpin his position, while the second seat remains competitive. A recent Ministério Público electoral opinion questioned his eligibility over incomplete desincompatibilization from the governorship, though his candidacy remains registered and polling momentum has continued. Trader pricing for first place aligns with this sustained frontrunner status ahead of the single-round vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
音量
$18,416終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Helder Barbalho (MDB) holds a commanding lead in recent polling for first place in Pará’s October 4, 2026 Senate election, where voters select two candidates for the state’s two seats.** Multiple September surveys, including Real Time Big Data (Helder at 36% aggregated, 45% first vote) and AtlasIntel (42.8% first vote), place him well ahead of Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) and a cluster of rivals such as Zequinha Marinho (Podemos), Chicão (União Brasil), and Celso Sabino (PDT). Barbalho’s prior governorship, broad coalition backing, and name recognition underpin his position, while the second seat remains competitive. A recent Ministério Público electoral opinion questioned his eligibility over incomplete desincompatibilization from the governorship, though his candidacy remains registered and polling momentum has continued. Trader pricing for first place aligns with this sustained frontrunner status ahead of the single-round vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$18,416終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...**Helder Barbalho (MDB) holds a commanding lead in recent polling for first place in Pará’s October 4, 2026 Senate election, where voters select two candidates for the state’s two seats.** Multiple September surveys, including Real Time Big Data (Helder at 36% aggregated, 45% first vote) and AtlasIntel (42.8% first vote), place him well ahead of Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) and a cluster of rivals such as Zequinha Marinho (Podemos), Chicão (União Brasil), and Celso Sabino (PDT). Barbalho’s prior governorship, broad coalition backing, and name recognition underpin his position, while the second seat remains competitive. A recent Ministério Público electoral opinion questioned his eligibility over incomplete desincompatibilization from the governorship, though his candidacy remains registered and polling momentum has continued. Trader pricing for first place aligns with this sustained frontrunner status ahead of the single-round vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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