Dr. Furlan (PSD), the former Macapá mayor, holds a commanding lead in the Amapá gubernatorial race due to consistent polling advantages of 55-66% in first-round simulations across multiple institutes since March 2026, far ahead of incumbent Clécio Luís (União Brasil) at 25-35%. Recent surveys from early September confirm this gap, with minor candidates like Delegado Marcos, Jairo Palheta, and Carlos Cley registering under 3%. Active campaigning, including rallies and municipal visits in September, along with his wife's strong Senate positioning, has reinforced trader consensus on an outright or decisive victory ahead of the October 4 first round. Potential shifts could stem from late legal resolutions tied to prior health contract investigations or unexpected turnout changes, though no major developments have narrowed the margin to date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日フルラン博士 92%
マルコス・レアテギ 4.3%
クレシオ・ルイス 3.9%
ジャイロ・パルヘタ 2.0%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
フルラン博士
92%
マルコス・レアテギ
4%
クレシオ・ルイス
4%
ジャイロ・パルヘタ
2%
カルロス・クレイ
<1%
フルラン博士 92%
マルコス・レアテギ 4.3%
クレシオ・ルイス 3.9%
ジャイロ・パルヘタ 2.0%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
フルラン博士
$6,944 Vol.
92%
マルコス・レアテギ
$214 Vol.
4%
クレシオ・ルイス
$318 Vol.
4%
ジャイロ・パルヘタ
$374 Vol.
2%
カルロス・クレイ
$133 Vol.
<1%
The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Dr. Furlan (PSD), the former Macapá mayor, holds a commanding lead in the Amapá gubernatorial race due to consistent polling advantages of 55-66% in first-round simulations across multiple institutes since March 2026, far ahead of incumbent Clécio Luís (União Brasil) at 25-35%. Recent surveys from early September confirm this gap, with minor candidates like Delegado Marcos, Jairo Palheta, and Carlos Cley registering under 3%. Active campaigning, including rallies and municipal visits in September, along with his wife's strong Senate positioning, has reinforced trader consensus on an outright or decisive victory ahead of the October 4 first round. Potential shifts could stem from late legal resolutions tied to prior health contract investigations or unexpected turnout changes, though no major developments have narrowed the margin to date.
The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 5:31 AM ET
音量
$7,983終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:31 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Dr. Furlan (PSD), the former Macapá mayor, holds a commanding lead in the Amapá gubernatorial race due to consistent polling advantages of 55-66% in first-round simulations across multiple institutes since March 2026, far ahead of incumbent Clécio Luís (União Brasil) at 25-35%. Recent surveys from early September confirm this gap, with minor candidates like Delegado Marcos, Jairo Palheta, and Carlos Cley registering under 3%. Active campaigning, including rallies and municipal visits in September, along with his wife's strong Senate positioning, has reinforced trader consensus on an outright or decisive victory ahead of the October 4 first round. Potential shifts could stem from late legal resolutions tied to prior health contract investigations or unexpected turnout changes, though no major developments have narrowed the margin to date.
The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$7,983終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:31 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Dr. Furlan (PSD), the former Macapá mayor, holds a commanding lead in the Amapá gubernatorial race due to consistent polling advantages of 55-66% in first-round simulations across multiple institutes since March 2026, far ahead of incumbent Clécio Luís (União Brasil) at 25-35%. Recent surveys from early September confirm this gap, with minor candidates like Delegado Marcos, Jairo Palheta, and Carlos Cley registering under 3%. Active campaigning, including rallies and municipal visits in September, along with his wife's strong Senate positioning, has reinforced trader consensus on an outright or decisive victory ahead of the October 4 first round. Potential shifts could stem from late legal resolutions tied to prior health contract investigations or unexpected turnout changes, though no major developments have narrowed the margin to date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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