Recent flash drought intensification across the South-Central U.S., driven by persistent drier- and warmer-than-normal conditions from Texas through Oklahoma, Kansas, Missouri, Arkansas, and into the Mississippi Valley, has expanded D3-D4 areas and supports trader emphasis on 10 or more states reaching exceptional drought in the September 8 U.S. Drought Monitor map. Hot temperatures elevated evaporative demand while short-term precipitation deficits degraded soil moisture and streamflow, outweighing scattered improvements in Colorado, Wyoming, and parts of the northern Plains. Model consensus and recent National Drought Mitigation Center assessments indicate these central expansions could push D4 into additional states, though localized heavy rain or forecast shifts may limit the count below double digits. The next USDM update and 6-10 day outlooks will refine probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoQuanti stati saranno in D4 (siccità eccezionale) — settimana dell'8 settembre 2026?
10 o più stati 59%
3-4 stati 38%
1-2 stati 37%
5-6 stati 36%
0 stati
1%
1-2 stati
37%
3-4 stati
38%
5-6 stati
36%
7-9 stati
35%
10 o più stati
59%
10 o più stati 59%
3-4 stati 38%
1-2 stati 37%
5-6 stati 36%
0 stati
1%
1-2 stati
37%
3-4 stati
38%
5-6 stati
36%
7-9 stati
35%
10 o più stati
59%
Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii. The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Mercato aperto: Sep 3, 2026, 9:00 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataTables.aspxRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii. The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataTables.aspxRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent flash drought intensification across the South-Central U.S., driven by persistent drier- and warmer-than-normal conditions from Texas through Oklahoma, Kansas, Missouri, Arkansas, and into the Mississippi Valley, has expanded D3-D4 areas and supports trader emphasis on 10 or more states reaching exceptional drought in the September 8 U.S. Drought Monitor map. Hot temperatures elevated evaporative demand while short-term precipitation deficits degraded soil moisture and streamflow, outweighing scattered improvements in Colorado, Wyoming, and parts of the northern Plains. Model consensus and recent National Drought Mitigation Center assessments indicate these central expansions could push D4 into additional states, though localized heavy rain or forecast shifts may limit the count below double digits. The next USDM update and 6-10 day outlooks will refine probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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