Mexico’s annual inflation for 2026 is priced with the 4.00–4.49% range as the clear leader at 35% implied probability, reflecting trader aggregation of recent data and central bank signals. Headline CPI rose to 3.26% year-over-year in August 2026 from 3.12% in July, the first increase in five months, while core inflation eased to 3.88%. Banco de México has held its policy rate steady at 6.50% since mid-year, citing persistent components and external risks, with private forecasts centering near 3.5–4.0% for the full year. Upcoming monthly releases and any shifts in Banxico communications will likely influence positioning ahead of year-end resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMessico Inflazione annuale 2026
Messico Inflazione annuale 2026
4,00% a 4,49% 35%
3,00% a 3,49% 20.2%
3,50% a 3,99% 14.7%
4,50% a 4,99% 8%
$66,945 Vol.
$66,945 Vol.
7 gen 2027
<2,50%
7%
2,50% a 2,99%
5%
3,00% a 3,49%
20%
3,50% a 3,99%
15%
4,00% a 4,49%
35%
4,50% a 4,99%
8%
5,00% a 5,49%
4%
5,50%+
2%
4,00% a 4,49% 35%
3,00% a 3,49% 20.2%
3,50% a 3,99% 14.7%
4,50% a 4,99% 8%
$66,945 Vol.
$66,945 Vol.
7 gen 2027
<2,50%
$1,113 Vol.
7%
2,50% a 2,99%
$4,895 Vol.
5%
3,00% a 3,49%
$29,055 Vol.
20%
3,50% a 3,99%
$4,210 Vol.
15%
4,00% a 4,49%
$13,846 Vol.
35%
4,50% a 4,99%
$4,932 Vol.
8%
5,00% a 5,49%
$2,577 Vol.
4%
5,50%+
$6,318 Vol.
2%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendarioMexico’s annual inflation for 2026 is priced with the 4.00–4.49% range as the clear leader at 35% implied probability, reflecting trader aggregation of recent data and central bank signals. Headline CPI rose to 3.26% year-over-year in August 2026 from 3.12% in July, the first increase in five months, while core inflation eased to 3.88%. Banco de México has held its policy rate steady at 6.50% since mid-year, citing persistent components and external risks, with private forecasts centering near 3.5–4.0% for the full year. Upcoming monthly releases and any shifts in Banxico communications will likely influence positioning ahead of year-end resolution.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
Mercato aperto: Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
Volume
$66,945Data di fine
8 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendarioMexico’s annual inflation for 2026 is priced with the 4.00–4.49% range as the clear leader at 35% implied probability, reflecting trader aggregation of recent data and central bank signals. Headline CPI rose to 3.26% year-over-year in August 2026 from 3.12% in July, the first increase in five months, while core inflation eased to 3.88%. Banco de México has held its policy rate steady at 6.50% since mid-year, citing persistent components and external risks, with private forecasts centering near 3.5–4.0% for the full year. Upcoming monthly releases and any shifts in Banxico communications will likely influence positioning ahead of year-end resolution.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
Volume
$66,945Data di fine
8 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Mexico’s annual inflation for 2026 is priced with the 4.00–4.49% range as the clear leader at 35% implied probability, reflecting trader aggregation of recent data and central bank signals. Headline CPI rose to 3.26% year-over-year in August 2026 from 3.12% in July, the first increase in five months, while core inflation eased to 3.88%. Banco de México has held its policy rate steady at 6.50% since mid-year, citing persistent components and external risks, with private forecasts centering near 3.5–4.0% for the full year. Upcoming monthly releases and any shifts in Banxico communications will likely influence positioning ahead of year-end resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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