Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate clear skies and light winds for Beijing on September 11, supporting overnight radiative cooling with minimum temperatures likely in the 13–18°C range. This aligns with climatological averages near 17°C for the date while reflecting recent dry, stable conditions that limit cloud cover and moisture. Trader sentiment remains evenly split between the 10°C-or-below and 20°C-or-higher brackets because small variations in exact station readings—driven by urban heat island effects, precise wind direction, or model spread on boundary-layer cooling—can shift the official low across multiple thresholds. Upcoming model updates and real-time observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Pechino l'11 settembre?
20°C o superiore 94%
10°C o inferiore 93%
18°C 40%
11°C 38%
10°C o inferiore
93%
11°C
38%
12°C
22%
13°C
22%
14°C
22%
15°C
23%
16°C
38%
17°C
38%
18°C
40%
19°C
14%
20°C o superiore
94%
20°C o superiore 94%
10°C o inferiore 93%
18°C 40%
11°C 38%
10°C o inferiore
93%
11°C
38%
12°C
22%
13°C
22%
14°C
22%
15°C
23%
16°C
38%
17°C
38%
18°C
40%
19°C
14%
20°C o superiore
94%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate clear skies and light winds for Beijing on September 11, supporting overnight radiative cooling with minimum temperatures likely in the 13–18°C range. This aligns with climatological averages near 17°C for the date while reflecting recent dry, stable conditions that limit cloud cover and moisture. Trader sentiment remains evenly split between the 10°C-or-below and 20°C-or-higher brackets because small variations in exact station readings—driven by urban heat island effects, precise wind direction, or model spread on boundary-layer cooling—can shift the official low across multiple thresholds. Upcoming model updates and real-time observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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