Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and supporting model runs indicate a maximum temperature near 29–30°C for Tokyo on September 22, following heavy rainfall and typhoon-related moisture from September 20–21. Clearing skies and reduced cloud cover on the 22nd should allow greater daytime heating, though scattered showers and variable northerly winds may limit peak values. Ensemble spread in guidance creates the tight market split between 29°C and 30°C outcomes, with traders weighting the balance of drier afternoon conditions against residual humidity. Historical late-September baselines near 25–26°C underscore the role of this transient warm-air advection in elevating the expected range. Updated JMA briefings and morning model runs tomorrow will provide the final observational constraints before market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Tokyo il 22 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Tokyo il 22 settembre?
29°C 29%
30°C 28%
28°C 17%
31°C 16%
NUOVO
NUOVO
22 set 2026
25°C o inferiore
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
17%
29°C
29%
30°C
28%
31°C
16%
32°C
5%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C o superiore
<1%
29°C 29%
30°C 28%
28°C 17%
31°C 16%
NUOVO
NUOVO
22 set 2026
25°C o inferiore
$668 Vol.
2%
26°C
$456 Vol.
1%
27°C
$524 Vol.
4%
28°C
$1,137 Vol.
17%
29°C
$767 Vol.
29%
30°C
$544 Vol.
28%
31°C
$770 Vol.
16%
32°C
$1,711 Vol.
5%
33°C
$458 Vol.
1%
34°C
$325 Vol.
<1%
35°C o superiore
$111 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and supporting model runs indicate a maximum temperature near 29–30°C for Tokyo on September 22, following heavy rainfall and typhoon-related moisture from September 20–21. Clearing skies and reduced cloud cover on the 22nd should allow greater daytime heating, though scattered showers and variable northerly winds may limit peak values. Ensemble spread in guidance creates the tight market split between 29°C and 30°C outcomes, with traders weighting the balance of drier afternoon conditions against residual humidity. Historical late-September baselines near 25–26°C underscore the role of this transient warm-air advection in elevating the expected range. Updated JMA briefings and morning model runs tomorrow will provide the final observational constraints before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$7,472Data di fine
22 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and supporting model runs indicate a maximum temperature near 29–30°C for Tokyo on September 22, following heavy rainfall and typhoon-related moisture from September 20–21. Clearing skies and reduced cloud cover on the 22nd should allow greater daytime heating, though scattered showers and variable northerly winds may limit peak values. Ensemble spread in guidance creates the tight market split between 29°C and 30°C outcomes, with traders weighting the balance of drier afternoon conditions against residual humidity. Historical late-September baselines near 25–26°C underscore the role of this transient warm-air advection in elevating the expected range. Updated JMA briefings and morning model runs tomorrow will provide the final observational constraints before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,472Data di fine
22 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and supporting model runs indicate a maximum temperature near 29–30°C for Tokyo on September 22, following heavy rainfall and typhoon-related moisture from September 20–21. Clearing skies and reduced cloud cover on the 22nd should allow greater daytime heating, though scattered showers and variable northerly winds may limit peak values. Ensemble spread in guidance creates the tight market split between 29°C and 30°C outcomes, with traders weighting the balance of drier afternoon conditions against residual humidity. Historical late-September baselines near 25–26°C underscore the role of this transient warm-air advection in elevating the expected range. Updated JMA briefings and morning model runs tomorrow will provide the final observational constraints before market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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