Northeast monsoon flow over southern China is promoting drier conditions and partly sunny skies across Hong Kong on September 11, supporting daytime warming toward the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius amid light to moderate northeasterly winds. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance indicates a maximum near 31°C, consistent with September climatology, while model spreads and localized variations in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing create uncertainty between 31°C and 32°C resolution thresholds. Recent sea-surface temperatures in the northern South China Sea remain above average, adding modest heat content, yet increasing wind speeds could enhance mixing and cap peaks. Trader consensus between these two outcomes reflects the narrow forecast range and sensitivity to final observational adjustments.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Hong Kong l'11 settembre?
31°C 36%
32°C 33%
30°C 18%
33°C 10%
26°C o inferiore
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
18%
31°C
36%
32°C
33%
33°C
10%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C o superiore
<1%
31°C 36%
32°C 33%
30°C 18%
33°C 10%
26°C o inferiore
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
18%
31°C
36%
32°C
33%
33°C
10%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Northeast monsoon flow over southern China is promoting drier conditions and partly sunny skies across Hong Kong on September 11, supporting daytime warming toward the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius amid light to moderate northeasterly winds. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance indicates a maximum near 31°C, consistent with September climatology, while model spreads and localized variations in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing create uncertainty between 31°C and 32°C resolution thresholds. Recent sea-surface temperatures in the northern South China Sea remain above average, adding modest heat content, yet increasing wind speeds could enhance mixing and cap peaks. Trader consensus between these two outcomes reflects the narrow forecast range and sensitivity to final observational adjustments.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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