Recent arrival of a cold air mass has driven down maximum temperatures across Chongqing, shifting trader focus toward 25–26°C outcomes as the most probable for September 11. Official and ensemble forecasts from multiple sources cluster in this range, reflecting reduced solar heating under increased cloud cover, light winds, and modest moisture that limits afternoon warming after the prior heat wave. Historical September averages near 29°C provide context, yet the current synoptic pattern favors values several degrees cooler. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum, with any late-day showers or thicker cloud decks capable of trimming the peak by 1–2°C and widening uncertainty around the closely matched leading probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Chongqing l'11 settembre?
25°C 27%
26°C 23%
23°C o inferiore 16%
24°C 15%
23°C o inferiore
16%
24°C
15%
25°C
27%
26°C
23%
27°C
12%
28°C
6%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C o superiore
<1%
25°C 27%
26°C 23%
23°C o inferiore 16%
24°C 15%
23°C o inferiore
16%
24°C
15%
25°C
27%
26°C
23%
27°C
12%
28°C
6%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent arrival of a cold air mass has driven down maximum temperatures across Chongqing, shifting trader focus toward 25–26°C outcomes as the most probable for September 11. Official and ensemble forecasts from multiple sources cluster in this range, reflecting reduced solar heating under increased cloud cover, light winds, and modest moisture that limits afternoon warming after the prior heat wave. Historical September averages near 29°C provide context, yet the current synoptic pattern favors values several degrees cooler. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum, with any late-day showers or thicker cloud decks capable of trimming the peak by 1–2°C and widening uncertainty around the closely matched leading probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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