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icon for Élection au Sénat de Roraima : 2e place
Politique·Brésil

Élection au Sénat de Roraima : 2e place

icon for Élection au Sénat de Roraima : 2e place
Politique·Brésil

Élection au Sénat de Roraima : 2e place

Nicoletti 51.6%

Teresa Surita 26%

Helena da Asatur 19.4%

Helio Bolsonaro 4.8%

Polymarket

$62,541 Vol.

Nicoletti 51.6%

Teresa Surita 26%

Helena da Asatur 19.4%

Helio Bolsonaro 4.8%

Polymarket

$62,541 Vol.

icon for Nicoletti

Nicoletti

$11,121 Vol.

52%

icon for Teresa Surita

Teresa Surita

$18,485 Vol.

26%

icon for Helena da Asatur

Helena da Asatur

$4,672 Vol.

19%

icon for Helio Bolsonaro

Helio Bolsonaro

$9,065 Vol.

5%

icon for Chico Rodrigues

Chico Rodrigues

$13,612 Vol.

3%

icon for Pastor Isamar

Pastor Isamar

$952 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mario Rocha

Mario Rocha

$810 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bartô Macuxi

Bartô Macuxi

$581 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hilton Xavier

Hilton Xavier

$529 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hiperion de Oliveira

Hiperion de Oliveira

$569 Vol.

<1%

icon for Márcio Junqueira

Márcio Junqueira

$676 Vol.

<1%

icon for Regina Tio Ivo

Regina Tio Ivo

$887 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rogério Miranda

Rogério Miranda

$583 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Roraima Senate race features a fragmented field of 13 candidates contesting two seats on October 4, with voters selecting two names. The latest Quaest survey from late August shows Teresa Surita (MDB), Nicoletti (PL), and Helena da Asatur (PSD) clustered within the margin of error at 19%, 17%, and 16% respectively in combined intentions, followed by Chico Rodrigues (PSB) at 11%, amid 17% undecided and far higher spontaneous indecision. This positioning, combined with PL fielding multiple candidates and limited recent polling or alliance announcements, sustains tight implied probabilities for second place. Small shifts in undecided consolidation, regional turnout, or cross-endorsements could reorder the finish among the top three before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$62,541
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Roraima Senate race features a fragmented field of 13 candidates contesting two seats on October 4, with voters selecting two names. The latest Quaest survey from late August shows Teresa Surita (MDB), Nicoletti (PL), and Helena da Asatur (PSD) clustered within the margin of error at 19%, 17%, and 16% respectively in combined intentions, followed by Chico Rodrigues (PSB) at 11%, amid 17% undecided and far higher spontaneous indecision. This positioning, combined with PL fielding multiple candidates and limited recent polling or alliance announcements, sustains tight implied probabilities for second place. Small shifts in undecided consolidation, regional turnout, or cross-endorsements could reorder the finish among the top three before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$62,541
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

Connexes

icon for Will Teresa Surita win the most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?

Will Teresa Surita win the most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?

54%
icon for Alexandre Curi obtiendra-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 au Paraná ?

Alexandre Curi obtiendra-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 au Paraná ?

35%
Oui
icon for Manuela D'Ávila remportera-t-elle le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 au Rio Grande do Sul ?

Manuela D'Ávila remportera-t-elle le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 au Rio Grande do Sul ?

34%
Oui

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Questions fréquentes

« Élection au Sénat de Roraima : 2e place » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 13 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Nicoletti » à 52%, suivi de « Teresa Surita » à 26%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 52¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 52% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Élection au Sénat de Roraima : 2e place » a généré $62.5K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Aug 17, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Élection au Sénat de Roraima : 2e place », parcourez les 13 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Élection au Sénat de Roraima : 2e place » est « Nicoletti » à 52%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 52% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Teresa Surita » à 26%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Élection au Sénat de Roraima : 2e place » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.