Skip to main content

Pour trader aux États-Unis, va sur polymarket.us

icon for Élection au Sénat du Rio Grande do Sul : 2e place
Politique·Brésil

Élection au Sénat du Rio Grande do Sul : 2e place

icon for Élection au Sénat du Rio Grande do Sul : 2e place
Politique·Brésil

Élection au Sénat du Rio Grande do Sul : 2e place

Manuela D'Ávila 34%

Rigotto 32%

Marcel Van Hattem 27%

Pimenta 11%

Polymarket

$34,663 Vol.

Manuela D'Ávila 34%

Rigotto 32%

Marcel Van Hattem 27%

Pimenta 11%

Polymarket

$34,663 Vol.

icon for Manuela D'Ávila

Manuela D'Ávila

$8,524 Vol.

31%

icon for Rigotto

Rigotto

$3,843 Vol.

32%

icon for Marcel Van Hattem

Marcel Van Hattem

$11,456 Vol.

27%

icon for Pimenta

Pimenta

$2,574 Vol.

11%

icon for Sanderson

Sanderson

$1,837 Vol.

3%

icon for Tania Peres

Tania Peres

$1,032 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ric Jones

Ric Jones

$954 Vol.

<1%

icon for Frederico Antunes

Frederico Antunes

$753 Vol.

<1%

icon for Luciano do MLB

Luciano do MLB

$1,089 Vol.

<1%

icon for Milton Cardoso

Milton Cardoso

$340 Vol.

<1%

icon for Regis Ethur

Regis Ethur

$419 Vol.

<1%

icon for Renato Jaguarão

Renato Jaguarão

$830 Vol.

<1%

icon for Daniela Mulheres Socialistas

Daniela Mulheres Socialistas

$1,013 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from institutes including Real Time Big Data and Quaest shows a tight contest for the two Senate seats in Rio Grande do Sul, with Manuela D'Ávila (PSOL), Marcel Van Hattem (Novo), Germano Rigotto (MDB), Paulo Pimenta (PT), and Ubiratã Sanderson (PL) clustered within margins of error across multiple surveys conducted through late August. High shares of undecided voters and the mechanics of distributing first- and second-choice votes keep second-place positioning fluid. The current market pricing reflects this statistical deadlock, as no candidate has established a durable lead in the final weeks before the October 4 vote. Further debates, shifts in coalition endorsements, or turnout patterns among key regional blocs could alter the ordering among the frontrunners.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$34,663
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from institutes including Real Time Big Data and Quaest shows a tight contest for the two Senate seats in Rio Grande do Sul, with Manuela D'Ávila (PSOL), Marcel Van Hattem (Novo), Germano Rigotto (MDB), Paulo Pimenta (PT), and Ubiratã Sanderson (PL) clustered within margins of error across multiple surveys conducted through late August. High shares of undecided voters and the mechanics of distributing first- and second-choice votes keep second-place positioning fluid. The current market pricing reflects this statistical deadlock, as no candidate has established a durable lead in the final weeks before the October 4 vote. Further debates, shifts in coalition endorsements, or turnout patterns among key regional blocs could alter the ordering among the frontrunners.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$34,663
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

Connexes

icon for Will Marcel Van Hattem win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?

Will Marcel Van Hattem win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?

53%
icon for Zenaide Maia obtiendra-t-elle le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 au Rio Grande do Norte ?

Zenaide Maia obtiendra-t-elle le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 au Rio Grande do Norte ?

49%
Oui
icon for Marcelo Crivella obtiendra-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de Rio de Janeiro en 2026 ?

Marcelo Crivella obtiendra-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de Rio de Janeiro en 2026 ?

57%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Élection au Sénat du Rio Grande do Sul : 2e place » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 13 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Rigotto » à 32%, suivi de « Manuela D'Ávila » à 31%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 32¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 32% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Élection au Sénat du Rio Grande do Sul : 2e place » a généré $34.7K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Aug 17, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Élection au Sénat du Rio Grande do Sul : 2e place », parcourez les 13 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Élection au Sénat du Rio Grande do Sul : 2e place » est « Rigotto » à 32%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 32% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Manuela D'Ávila » à 31%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Élection au Sénat du Rio Grande do Sul : 2e place » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.