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icon for Élection au Sénat du Pernambouc : 2e place
Politique·Brésil

Élection au Sénat du Pernambouc : 2e place

icon for Élection au Sénat du Pernambouc : 2e place
Politique·Brésil

Élection au Sénat du Pernambouc : 2e place

Humberto Costa 43%

Mendonça Filho 42%

Marília Arraes 12.2%

Túlio Gadêlha 3.1%

Polymarket

$30,979 Vol.

Humberto Costa 43%

Mendonça Filho 42%

Marília Arraes 12.2%

Túlio Gadêlha 3.1%

Polymarket

$30,979 Vol.

icon for Humberto Costa

Humberto Costa

$10,072 Vol.

43%

icon for Mendonça Filho

Mendonça Filho

$8,246 Vol.

42%

icon for Marília Arraes

Marília Arraes

$5,262 Vol.

12%

icon for Túlio Gadêlha

Túlio Gadêlha

$1,430 Vol.

3%

icon for Eduardo da Fonte

Eduardo da Fonte

$1,511 Vol.

2%

icon for Samuel Timoteo

Samuel Timoteo

$834 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mariano Macedo

Mariano Macedo

$806 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pasteur Gilvan Costa

Pasteur Gilvan Costa

$773 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carlos Sant'Anna

Carlos Sant'Anna

$494 Vol.

<1%

icon for Paulo Rubem Santiago

Paulo Rubem Santiago

$490 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gorett Bitu

Gorett Bitu

$629 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mailson da Silva Neto

Mailson da Silva Neto

$433 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Pernambuco Senate race for the two seats remains highly competitive with roughly one month until the October 4 vote, as recent Quaest polling shows Marília Arraes (PDT) at 17%, incumbent Humberto Costa (PT) at 14%, Mendonça Filho (PL) at 11%, and Eduardo da Fonte (PP) at 7% in consolidated first-and-second preferences—within the three-point margin of error. High undecided (27%) and blank/null (18%) shares, combined with voter sensitivity to the parallel gubernatorial contest between Raquel Lyra (PSD) and João Campos (PSB), sustain volatility and limit separation among the top contenders. Traders price Costa and Mendonça Filho as the closest for second place, reflecting their established bases, coalition alignments, and limited recent polling movement, while Arraes appears more anchored toward first. Late campaign shifts on security policy or turnout among left-leaning and right-leaning blocs could still reorder the finish.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$30,979
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Pernambuco Senate race for the two seats remains highly competitive with roughly one month until the October 4 vote, as recent Quaest polling shows Marília Arraes (PDT) at 17%, incumbent Humberto Costa (PT) at 14%, Mendonça Filho (PL) at 11%, and Eduardo da Fonte (PP) at 7% in consolidated first-and-second preferences—within the three-point margin of error. High undecided (27%) and blank/null (18%) shares, combined with voter sensitivity to the parallel gubernatorial contest between Raquel Lyra (PSD) and João Campos (PSB), sustain volatility and limit separation among the top contenders. Traders price Costa and Mendonça Filho as the closest for second place, reflecting their established bases, coalition alignments, and limited recent polling movement, while Arraes appears more anchored toward first. Late campaign shifts on security policy or turnout among left-leaning and right-leaning blocs could still reorder the finish.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$30,979
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

Connexes

icon for Will Marília Arraes win the most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election?

Will Marília Arraes win the most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election?

68%
icon for Veneziano remportera-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de Paraíba en 2026 ?

Veneziano remportera-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de Paraíba en 2026 ?

60%
Oui
icon for Leila do Vôlei remportera-t-elle le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale du District Fédéral en 2026 ?

Leila do Vôlei remportera-t-elle le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale du District Fédéral en 2026 ?

53%
Oui

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Questions fréquentes

« Élection au Sénat du Pernambouc : 2e place » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 12 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Humberto Costa » à 43%, suivi de « Mendonça Filho » à 42%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 43¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 43% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Élection au Sénat du Pernambouc : 2e place » a généré $31K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Aug 17, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Élection au Sénat du Pernambouc : 2e place », parcourez les 12 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Élection au Sénat du Pernambouc : 2e place » est « Humberto Costa » à 43%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 43% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Mendonça Filho » à 42%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Élection au Sénat du Pernambouc : 2e place » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.