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icon for Élection au Sénat du Pernambouc : 1ère place
Politique·Brésil

Élection au Sénat du Pernambouc : 1ère place

icon for Élection au Sénat du Pernambouc : 1ère place
Politique·Brésil

Élection au Sénat du Pernambouc : 1ère place

Marília Arraes 74%

Humberto Costa 10.7%

Eduardo da Fonte 7.2%

Mendonça Filho 7.1%

Polymarket

$30,775 Vol.

Marília Arraes 74%

Humberto Costa 10.7%

Eduardo da Fonte 7.2%

Mendonça Filho 7.1%

Polymarket

$30,775 Vol.

icon for Marília Arraes

Marília Arraes

$15,332 Vol.

74%

icon for Humberto Costa

Humberto Costa

$8,538 Vol.

11%

icon for Eduardo da Fonte

Eduardo da Fonte

$879 Vol.

7%

icon for Mendonça Filho

Mendonça Filho

$1,327 Vol.

7%

icon for Carlos Sant'Anna

Carlos Sant'Anna

$634 Vol.

<1%

icon for Paulo Rubem Santiago

Paulo Rubem Santiago

$624 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gorett Bitu

Gorett Bitu

$633 Vol.

<1%

icon for Samuel Timoteo

Samuel Timoteo

$557 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mailson da Silva Neto

Mailson da Silva Neto

$575 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mariano Macedo

Mariano Macedo

$528 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pastor Gilvan Costa

Pastor Gilvan Costa

$523 Vol.

<1%

icon for Túlio Gadêlha

Túlio Gadêlha

$625 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Marília Arraes (PDT) holds a clear lead in recent polling for first place in Pernambuco's October 4 Senate contest, with consolidated first-and-second-choice support ranging from 17% to 29% across Quaest, Datafolha, and Real Time Big Data surveys conducted between early August and mid-September. She benefits from her Popular Front coalition alignment with strong local figures and consistent top positioning in every tested scenario. Humberto Costa (PT), seeking re-election, trails closely behind in most releases but remains in technical contention for the second seat alongside Mendonça Filho (PL) and Eduardo da Fonte (PP). The market's elevated probability for Arraes reflects this sustained polling advantage and the absence of major late shifts, while lower odds for the remaining field align with their limited measured support and higher rejection levels.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$30,775
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Marília Arraes (PDT) holds a clear lead in recent polling for first place in Pernambuco's October 4 Senate contest, with consolidated first-and-second-choice support ranging from 17% to 29% across Quaest, Datafolha, and Real Time Big Data surveys conducted between early August and mid-September. She benefits from her Popular Front coalition alignment with strong local figures and consistent top positioning in every tested scenario. Humberto Costa (PT), seeking re-election, trails closely behind in most releases but remains in technical contention for the second seat alongside Mendonça Filho (PL) and Eduardo da Fonte (PP). The market's elevated probability for Arraes reflects this sustained polling advantage and the absence of major late shifts, while lower odds for the remaining field align with their limited measured support and higher rejection levels.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$30,775
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

Connexes

icon for Mendonça Filho remportera-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale du Pernambouc en 2026 ?

Mendonça Filho remportera-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale du Pernambouc en 2026 ?

28%
Oui
icon for Will Joao Azevêdo win the most votes in the 2026 Paraíba Senate election?

Will Joao Azevêdo win the most votes in the 2026 Paraíba Senate election?

86%
icon for Michelle Bolsonaro remportera-t-elle le plus de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 dans le District fédéral ?

Michelle Bolsonaro remportera-t-elle le plus de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 dans le District fédéral ?

78%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Élection au Sénat du Pernambouc : 1ère place » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 12 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Marília Arraes » à 74%, suivi de « Humberto Costa » à 11%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 74¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 74% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Élection au Sénat du Pernambouc : 1ère place » a généré $30.8K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Aug 17, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Élection au Sénat du Pernambouc : 1ère place », parcourez les 12 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Élection au Sénat du Pernambouc : 1ère place » est « Marília Arraes » à 74%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 74% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Humberto Costa » à 11%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Élection au Sénat du Pernambouc : 1ère place » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.