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icon for Mato Grosso do Sul Élection au Sénat : 2e place
Politique·Brésil

Mato Grosso do Sul Élection au Sénat : 2e place

icon for Mato Grosso do Sul Élection au Sénat : 2e place
Politique·Brésil

Mato Grosso do Sul Élection au Sénat : 2e place

Capitão Contar 60%

Soraya 19.3%

Vander Loubet 19%

Reinaldo Azambuja 3.5%

Polymarket

$22,809 Vol.

Capitão Contar 60%

Soraya 19.3%

Vander Loubet 19%

Reinaldo Azambuja 3.5%

Polymarket

$22,809 Vol.

icon for Capitão Contar

Capitão Contar

$8,716 Vol.

60%

icon for Soraya

Soraya

$2,516 Vol.

19%

icon for Vander Loubet

Vander Loubet

$6,646 Vol.

19%

icon for Reinaldo Azambuja

Reinaldo Azambuja

$1,042 Vol.

4%

icon for Beto do Movimento

Beto do Movimento

$684 Vol.

<1%

icon for Valter da Comagran

Valter da Comagran

$719 Vol.

<1%

icon for Roberto Oshiro

Roberto Oshiro

$757 Vol.

<1%

icon for Luiz Lemes

Luiz Lemes

$787 Vol.

<1%

icon for Daniel Junior

Daniel Junior

$497 Vol.

<1%

icon for Valderi Garcia

Valderi Garcia

$444 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Reinaldo Azambuja (PL) maintains a clear lead in recent polls for one Senate seat in Mato Grosso do Sul, leaving the second position contested among Capitão Contar (PL), Soraya Thronicke (PSB), and Vander Loubet (PT). Nelsinho Trad’s withdrawal to serve as Azambuja’s alternate has consolidated support within the PL ticket, bolstering Contar’s positioning in combined-vote scenarios. Polling averages from August and early September show Contar frequently ahead or tied for second, while Vander has gained ground in some surveys and Soraya holds steady backing from her base. With voters selecting two candidates and roughly one month until the October election, turnout patterns, last-minute alliances, and final debate performances remain key variables that could shift the narrow margins reflected in trader pricing.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$22,809
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Reinaldo Azambuja (PL) maintains a clear lead in recent polls for one Senate seat in Mato Grosso do Sul, leaving the second position contested among Capitão Contar (PL), Soraya Thronicke (PSB), and Vander Loubet (PT). Nelsinho Trad’s withdrawal to serve as Azambuja’s alternate has consolidated support within the PL ticket, bolstering Contar’s positioning in combined-vote scenarios. Polling averages from August and early September show Contar frequently ahead or tied for second, while Vander has gained ground in some surveys and Soraya holds steady backing from her base. With voters selecting two candidates and roughly one month until the October election, turnout patterns, last-minute alliances, and final debate performances remain key variables that could shift the narrow margins reflected in trader pricing.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$22,809
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

Connexes

icon for Janaina Riva obtiendra-t-elle le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 au Mato Grosso ?

Janaina Riva obtiendra-t-elle le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 au Mato Grosso ?

76%
Oui
icon for Reinaldo Azambuja remportera-t-il le plus de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 au Mato Grosso do Sul ?

Reinaldo Azambuja remportera-t-il le plus de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 au Mato Grosso do Sul ?

77%
Oui
icon for Mauro Mendes remportera-t-il le plus de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 au Mato Grosso ?

Mauro Mendes remportera-t-il le plus de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 au Mato Grosso ?

69%
Oui

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Questions fréquentes

« Mato Grosso do Sul Élection au Sénat : 2e place » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 10 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Capitão Contar » à 60%, suivi de « Soraya » à 19%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 60¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 60% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Mato Grosso do Sul Élection au Sénat : 2e place » a généré $22.8K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Aug 17, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Mato Grosso do Sul Élection au Sénat : 2e place », parcourez les 10 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Mato Grosso do Sul Élection au Sénat : 2e place » est « Capitão Contar » à 60%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 60% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Soraya » à 19%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Mato Grosso do Sul Élection au Sénat : 2e place » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.