Skip to main content

Pour trader aux États-Unis, va sur polymarket.us

icon for Mato Grosso do Sul Élection au Sénat : 1ère place
Politique·Brésil

Mato Grosso do Sul Élection au Sénat : 1ère place

icon for Mato Grosso do Sul Élection au Sénat : 1ère place
Politique·Brésil

Mato Grosso do Sul Élection au Sénat : 1ère place

Reinaldo Azambuja 77%

Capitão Contar 12%

Luiz Lemes 1.1%

Valderi Garcia <1%

Polymarket

$17,802 Vol.

Reinaldo Azambuja 77%

Capitão Contar 12%

Luiz Lemes 1.1%

Valderi Garcia <1%

Polymarket

$17,802 Vol.

icon for Reinaldo Azambuja

Reinaldo Azambuja

$10,692 Vol.

77%

icon for Capitão Contar

Capitão Contar

$2,517 Vol.

12%

icon for Luiz Lemes

Luiz Lemes

$591 Vol.

1%

icon for Valderi Garcia

Valderi Garcia

$570 Vol.

1%

icon for Valter da Comagran

Valter da Comagran

$638 Vol.

1%

icon for Roberto Oshiro

Roberto Oshiro

$634 Vol.

1%

icon for Beto do Movimento

Beto do Movimento

$576 Vol.

<1%

icon for Soraya

Soraya

$571 Vol.

<1%

icon for Vander Loubet

Vander Loubet

$550 Vol.

<1%

icon for Daniel Junior

Daniel Junior

$463 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Reinaldo Azambuja (PL) holds a strong lead in trader consensus for first place in Mato Grosso do Sul’s October 4 Senate election due to consistent polling advantages and structural positioning. Recent surveys from August 2026, including Quaest and Ranking Brasil, place him at 22-32% in first-preference voting, ahead of running mate Capitão Contar (PL) at 15-21% and other contenders such as Soraya Thronicke (PSB) and Vander Loubet (PT). Azambuja benefits from high name recognition as former governor, broad regional support across interior strongholds, and the PL’s consolidation of the center-right base supporting Governor Eduardo Riedel. Contar trails despite conservative appeal, while opposition candidates split support. Nelsinho Trad’s decision to serve as Azambuja’s alternate further streamlined the PL ticket. These dynamics have kept Azambuja’s implied probability elevated while capping others.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$17,802
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Reinaldo Azambuja (PL) holds a strong lead in trader consensus for first place in Mato Grosso do Sul’s October 4 Senate election due to consistent polling advantages and structural positioning. Recent surveys from August 2026, including Quaest and Ranking Brasil, place him at 22-32% in first-preference voting, ahead of running mate Capitão Contar (PL) at 15-21% and other contenders such as Soraya Thronicke (PSB) and Vander Loubet (PT). Azambuja benefits from high name recognition as former governor, broad regional support across interior strongholds, and the PL’s consolidation of the center-right base supporting Governor Eduardo Riedel. Contar trails despite conservative appeal, while opposition candidates split support. Nelsinho Trad’s decision to serve as Azambuja’s alternate further streamlined the PL ticket. These dynamics have kept Azambuja’s implied probability elevated while capping others.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$17,802
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

Connexes

icon for Capitão Contar obtiendra-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale du Mato Grosso do Sul en 2026 ?

Capitão Contar obtiendra-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale du Mato Grosso do Sul en 2026 ?

60%
Oui
icon for Mauro Mendes remportera-t-il le plus de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 au Mato Grosso ?

Mauro Mendes remportera-t-il le plus de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 au Mato Grosso ?

69%
Oui
icon for Janaina Riva obtiendra-t-elle le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 au Mato Grosso ?

Janaina Riva obtiendra-t-elle le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 au Mato Grosso ?

76%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Mato Grosso do Sul Élection au Sénat : 1ère place » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 10 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Reinaldo Azambuja » à 77%, suivi de « Capitão Contar » à 12%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 77¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 77% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Mato Grosso do Sul Élection au Sénat : 1ère place » a généré $17.8K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Aug 17, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Mato Grosso do Sul Élection au Sénat : 1ère place », parcourez les 10 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Mato Grosso do Sul Élection au Sénat : 1ère place » est « Reinaldo Azambuja » à 77%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 77% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Capitão Contar » à 12%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Mato Grosso do Sul Élection au Sénat : 1ère place » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.