Ronny Jackson's commanding position in the TX-13 race stems primarily from the district's deep Republican tilt, with a Cook Political Report rating around R+24 and consistent strong performance by GOP presidential candidates. As the incumbent, Jackson secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 90 percent of the vote against a minor challenger. Democrat Mark Nair advanced unopposed from his primary but trails sharply in fundraising, with Jackson holding millions in reserves compared to Nair's limited resources. The November 3 general election in this Panhandle and North Texas district offers few structural openings for an upset. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or unprecedented national shift would be required to meaningfully alter the current trader consensus reflected in the odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTX-13 House Election Winner
TX-13 House Election Winner
$18,978 Vol.
$18,978 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Ronny Jackson (R)
95%
Mark Nair (D)
5%
$18,978 Vol.
$18,978 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Ronny Jackson (R)
$3,466 Vol.
95%
Mark Nair (D)
$15,513 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ronny Jackson's commanding position in the TX-13 race stems primarily from the district's deep Republican tilt, with a Cook Political Report rating around R+24 and consistent strong performance by GOP presidential candidates. As the incumbent, Jackson secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 90 percent of the vote against a minor challenger. Democrat Mark Nair advanced unopposed from his primary but trails sharply in fundraising, with Jackson holding millions in reserves compared to Nair's limited resources. The November 3 general election in this Panhandle and North Texas district offers few structural openings for an upset. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or unprecedented national shift would be required to meaningfully alter the current trader consensus reflected in the odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$18,978End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ronny Jackson's commanding position in the TX-13 race stems primarily from the district's deep Republican tilt, with a Cook Political Report rating around R+24 and consistent strong performance by GOP presidential candidates. As the incumbent, Jackson secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 90 percent of the vote against a minor challenger. Democrat Mark Nair advanced unopposed from his primary but trails sharply in fundraising, with Jackson holding millions in reserves compared to Nair's limited resources. The November 3 general election in this Panhandle and North Texas district offers few structural openings for an upset. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or unprecedented national shift would be required to meaningfully alter the current trader consensus reflected in the odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$18,978End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ronny Jackson's commanding position in the TX-13 race stems primarily from the district's deep Republican tilt, with a Cook Political Report rating around R+24 and consistent strong performance by GOP presidential candidates. As the incumbent, Jackson secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 90 percent of the vote against a minor challenger. Democrat Mark Nair advanced unopposed from his primary but trails sharply in fundraising, with Jackson holding millions in reserves compared to Nair's limited resources. The November 3 general election in this Panhandle and North Texas district offers few structural openings for an upset. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or unprecedented national shift would be required to meaningfully alter the current trader consensus reflected in the odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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