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icon for Taschereau Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Taschereau Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Taschereau Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Taschereau Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Christian Savard 45%

Étienne Grandmont 43%

Eliot Estévez-Verville 4.0%

Farnell Morisset 2.8%

Polymarket
NEW

Christian Savard 45%

Étienne Grandmont 43%

Eliot Estévez-Verville 4.0%

Farnell Morisset 2.8%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Christian Savard

Christian Savard

$1,491 Vol.

45%

icon for Étienne Grandmont

Étienne Grandmont

$1,181 Vol.

43%

icon for Eliot Estévez-Verville

Eliot Estévez-Verville

$489 Vol.

4%

icon for Farnell Morisset

Farnell Morisset

$365 Vol.

3%

icon for Vincent Marissal

Vincent Marissal

$247 Vol.

2%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Taschereau Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Taschereau remains a tight contest between incumbent Étienne Grandmont of Québec solidaire and Parti Québécois challenger Christian Savard ahead of the October 5 Quebec general election, with trader prices reflecting a near-even split amid the riding’s urban, progressive profile in Quebec City. Grandmont benefits from incumbency and the district’s 2022 QS result near 40 percent, while Savard draws on PQ’s stronger provincial polling and shared focus on housing affordability, homelessness, and mobility. Recent PQ candidate turnover—Jeanne Robin’s withdrawal followed by Vincent Marissal’s exclusion and Savard’s late August selection—has introduced uncertainty without clear momentum shift. Aggregated projections show QS and PQ separated by only a few points, with smaller shares for Conservative, Liberal, and CAQ candidates. The September 17 nomination deadline and final campaign weeks could still alter local dynamics through turnout or issue emphasis.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Taschereau Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Taschereau Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$3,773
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:52 PM ET
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Taschereau Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Taschereau remains a tight contest between incumbent Étienne Grandmont of Québec solidaire and Parti Québécois challenger Christian Savard ahead of the October 5 Quebec general election, with trader prices reflecting a near-even split amid the riding’s urban, progressive profile in Quebec City. Grandmont benefits from incumbency and the district’s 2022 QS result near 40 percent, while Savard draws on PQ’s stronger provincial polling and shared focus on housing affordability, homelessness, and mobility. Recent PQ candidate turnover—Jeanne Robin’s withdrawal followed by Vincent Marissal’s exclusion and Savard’s late August selection—has introduced uncertainty without clear momentum shift. Aggregated projections show QS and PQ separated by only a few points, with smaller shares for Conservative, Liberal, and CAQ candidates. The September 17 nomination deadline and final campaign weeks could still alter local dynamics through turnout or issue emphasis.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Taschereau Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Taschereau Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$3,773
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:52 PM ET

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Taschereau Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Christian Savard" at 46%, followed by "Étienne Grandmont" at 43%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 46¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Taschereau Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Taschereau Quebec National Assembly Election Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Taschereau Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is "Christian Savard" at 46%, meaning the market assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Étienne Grandmont" at 43%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Taschereau Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.