Recent August CPI data showed a rebound to 0.8% year-on-year, fueled by higher global energy and commodity prices amid Middle East supply risks, with transport costs contributing notably while food prices stayed subdued. Persistent weakness in domestic demand, reflected in soft core readings near 1% and ongoing deflationary pressures in housing and certain consumer goods, limits broader pass-through and keeps September expectations clustered in the 0.5–1.0% range. Traders weigh the durability of imported cost pressures against policy support for consumption and seasonal factors, producing closely matched probabilities that could shift with incoming data on oil prices, retail sales, or producer price trends before the mid-October release.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated0.9% to 1.0% 49%
0.7% to 0.8% 42%
0.5% to 0.6% 28%
1.1%+ 28%
NEW
NEW
Oct 14, 2026
≤0.4%
27%
0.5% to 0.6%
28%
0.7% to 0.8%
42%
0.9% to 1.0%
49%
1.1%+
28%
0.9% to 1.0% 49%
0.7% to 0.8% 42%
0.5% to 0.6% 28%
1.1%+ 28%
NEW
NEW
Oct 14, 2026
≤0.4%
$0 Vol.
27%
0.5% to 0.6%
$0 Vol.
28%
0.7% to 0.8%
$0 Vol.
42%
0.9% to 1.0%
$20 Vol.
49%
1.1%+
$0 Vol.
28%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending September 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending September 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for September 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in October 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for September 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in September 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/Recent August CPI data showed a rebound to 0.8% year-on-year, fueled by higher global energy and commodity prices amid Middle East supply risks, with transport costs contributing notably while food prices stayed subdued. Persistent weakness in domestic demand, reflected in soft core readings near 1% and ongoing deflationary pressures in housing and certain consumer goods, limits broader pass-through and keeps September expectations clustered in the 0.5–1.0% range. Traders weigh the durability of imported cost pressures against policy support for consumption and seasonal factors, producing closely matched probabilities that could shift with incoming data on oil prices, retail sales, or producer price trends before the mid-October release.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending September 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending September 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for September 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in October 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for September 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in September 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending September 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for September 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in October 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for September 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in September 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Market Opened: Sep 9, 2026, 4:32 PM ET
Volume
$20End Date
Oct 14, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 4:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending September 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending September 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for September 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in October 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for September 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in September 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/Recent August CPI data showed a rebound to 0.8% year-on-year, fueled by higher global energy and commodity prices amid Middle East supply risks, with transport costs contributing notably while food prices stayed subdued. Persistent weakness in domestic demand, reflected in soft core readings near 1% and ongoing deflationary pressures in housing and certain consumer goods, limits broader pass-through and keeps September expectations clustered in the 0.5–1.0% range. Traders weigh the durability of imported cost pressures against policy support for consumption and seasonal factors, producing closely matched probabilities that could shift with incoming data on oil prices, retail sales, or producer price trends before the mid-October release.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending September 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending September 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for September 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in October 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for September 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in September 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending September 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for September 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in October 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for September 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in September 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Volume
$20End Date
Oct 14, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 4:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent August CPI data showed a rebound to 0.8% year-on-year, fueled by higher global energy and commodity prices amid Middle East supply risks, with transport costs contributing notably while food prices stayed subdued. Persistent weakness in domestic demand, reflected in soft core readings near 1% and ongoing deflationary pressures in housing and certain consumer goods, limits broader pass-through and keeps September expectations clustered in the 0.5–1.0% range. Traders weigh the durability of imported cost pressures against policy support for consumption and seasonal factors, producing closely matched probabilities that could shift with incoming data on oil prices, retail sales, or producer price trends before the mid-October release.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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